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KIM FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Kimco Realty Corporation (HC) 실적 발표

Apr 30, 2026 · 08:30 ET Connor FlynnDave JamesonDavid Bushnicki
Buzzberg 분석

Signed-not-open pipeline reaches record $77 million ABR

Kimco's Q1 2026 call was highly positive, highlighting a record signed-not-open pipeline ($77M), accelerating rent commencements, and strong leasing demand. Management raised its full-year FFO outlook at the low end and provided a clear path for accelerating same-site NOI growth through the year, predicting a substantial earnings inflection in H2 2026. Record SNB pipeline of $77M ABR (410 bps lease vs. economic occupancy spread) with 60%+ expected to commence in 2026, driving revenue growth.

Buzzberg 분석 Signed-not-open pipeline reaches record $77 million ABR Kimco's Q1 2026 call was highly positive, highlighting a record signed-not-open pipeline ($77M), accelerating rent commencements, and strong leasing demand. Management raised its full-year FFO outlook at the low end and provided a clear path for accelerating same-site NOI growth through the year, predicting a substantial earnings inflection in H2 2026. Record SNB pipeline of $77M ABR (410 bps lease vs. economic occupancy spread) with 60%+ expected to commence in 2026, driving revenue growth. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Kimco's Q1 2026 call was highly positive, highlighting a record signed-not-open pipeline ($77M), accelerating rent commencements, and strong leasing demand. Management raised its full-year FFO outlook at the low end and provided a clear path for accelerating same-site NOI growth through the year, predicting a substantial earnings inflection in H2 2026. Record SNB pipeline of $77M ABR (410 bps lease vs. economic occupancy spread) with 60%+ expected to commence in 2026, driving revenue growth.

  • Q1 FFO of $0.46 beat expectations with a 4.5% YoY increase, driven by higher minimum rents ($8.3M) and favorable credit loss.
  • Full-year FFO outlook tightened to $1.81-$1.84 and same-site NOI growth raised to 2.8%-3.5%, with a clear ramp expected in H2.
  • Occupancy at 96.3%, with the acquired RPT portfolio now outperforming legacy assets; anchor occupancy has significant upside potential.
SAME_SITE_NOI rev growth 1.7% reported
Revenue $0.558B +3% QoQ
EPS $0.23 -48% QoQ
Gross margin 69.14% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Growth

Signed-not-open pipeline reaches record $77 million ABR

Kimco's Q1 2026 call was highly positive, highlighting a record signed-not-open pipeline ($77M), accelerating rent commencements, and strong leasing demand. Management raised its full-year FFO outlook at the low end and provided a clear path for accelerating same-site NOI…

02
Guidance

Same-site NOI growth guidance raised to 2.8%-3.5%

Guidance tone

03
Credit

Credit loss guidance tightened to 65-90 bps

Q1 FFO of $0.46 beat expectations with a 4.5% YoY increase, driven by higher minimum rents ($8.3M) and favorable credit loss.

04
Demand

Retailer demand signals confidence in open-air format

Management expressed confidence in operational execution, citing record signed-not-open pipeline, strong tenant demand, and raised guidance for the year.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Retailer demand signals confidence in open-air format. Management expressed confidence in operational execution, citing record signed-not-open pipeline, strong tenant demand, and raised guidance for the year.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Management discussed a Grocery Anchored Redevelopment Program and a redevelopment pipeline, with 15 active grocery projects under construction, while also emphasizing a capital-light strategy for multifamily developments. They noted that construction teams are working to value engineer boxes and lower CapEx costs to accelerate lease commencements.

톤 · Confident

Management expressed confidence in operational execution, citing record signed-not-open pipeline, strong tenant demand, and raised guidance for the year.

공급망 알파

A1

Management noted that the RPT portfolio's occupancy, acquired two years ago, has now surpassed the legacy Kimco portfolio, closing the 130bp gap.

“When we closed the RPT transaction just two years ago, that portfolio carried an occupancy gap of roughly 130 basis points lower than Kimco's legacy assets. At the end of the first quarter, we not only closed the gap, we surpassed it, as t…”
Connor Flynn
A2

The company expects a significant portion (over 60%) of its record $77M SNB pipeline to commence in 2026, with Q1 actual commencements already contributing $13M to 2026 revenue.

“Over 60% of the current snow is projected to commence in 2026, with commencements weighted toward the second half... Q1 actual commencements will contribute approximately $13 million in 2026, with over $18 million projected from leases com…”
Dave Jameson

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
EPSFY2026$1.81–$1.84$1.83RAISED
RevenueSAME_SITE_NOIFY20262.8%–3.5%3.15%RAISED
RevenueCREDIT_LOSSFY20260.65%–0.9%0.775%LOWERED
RevenueSNO_COMMENCEMENTS_2026FY2026$31M$31MRAISED

기업 영향 분석

+28.2%
발표 이후
$85.35$109.40
고객

Anthropologie (Urban Outfitters) is expanding its physical store footprint in Kimco's lifestyle centers, showing continued investment in physical retail.

“And in our lifestyle portfolio, we signed two leases with Anthropologie and executed our first deal with Patagonia.”
Dave Jameson
+37.7%
발표 이후
$95.50$131.49
고객

Dollar Tree is aggressively expanding its footprint and accelerating its leasing process (multiple deals signed in under 30 days), indicating strong growth appetite.

“Packaged leasing continued to build momentum as we secured four leases with Dollar Tree, signing several of those in under 30 days.”
Dave Jameson
+0.3%
발표 이후
$18.94$18.99
경쟁사

Private capital is aggressively pursuing open-air retail assets at premium valuations (acquisition of Whitestone at ~$1.7B), confirming the disconnect between public and private market values and a sector-wide tailwind for asset values.

“The recently announced acquisition of Whitestone REIT by Aries Management, an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.7 billion, is the latest evidence of how aggressively private capital is pursuing our sector”
Ross Cooper