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IT FY2025 Q4 SOFTENING

Gartner, Inc. earnings call

Feb 03, 2026 · 08:00 ET Craig SafianGene Hallspk09
Buzzberg read

Management expects CV growth to accelerate through 2026

Gartner reported Q4 2025 results ahead of expectations but guided to a sluggish 2026, with revenue growth of just 2% FX neutral and a margin step-down to 23.5%. Management emphasized a multi-year transformation program to improve insights engagement and retention, but explicitly assumes the selling environment will not improve. The company is divesting its digital markets business to focus on core research. Q4 CV grew 1% YoY, but ex-U.S. Federal grew 4%, showing the federal headwind is easing.

Buzzberg read Management expects CV growth to accelerate through 2026 Gartner reported Q4 2025 results ahead of expectations but guided to a sluggish 2026, with revenue growth of just 2% FX neutral and a margin step-down to 23.5%. Management emphasized a multi-year transformation program to improve insights engagement and retention, but explicitly assumes the selling environment will not improve. The company is divesting its digital markets business to focus on core research. Q4 CV grew 1% YoY, but ex-U.S. Federal grew 4%, showing the federal headwind is easing. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Gartner reported Q4 2025 results ahead of expectations but guided to a sluggish 2026, with revenue growth of just 2% FX neutral and a margin step-down to 23.5%. Management emphasized a multi-year transformation program to improve insights engagement and retention, but explicitly assumes the selling environment will not improve. The company is divesting its digital markets business to focus on core research. Q4 CV grew 1% YoY, but ex-U.S. Federal grew 4%, showing the federal headwind is easing.

  • 2026 revenue guide implies FX-neutral growth of just 2%, well below historical double-digit targets.
  • Management assumes the tough selling environment persists, with no economic improvement expected in 2026.
  • Margins guided down to 23.5% from 24.8% in 2025, as investments in transformation and merit increases outpace modest revenue growth.
Revenue $1.7526B reported
EPS $3.94 reported
Gross margin 64.6% reported
Op margin 19.07% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

Management expects CV growth to accelerate through 2026

Guidance · revenue to $3.2275B

02
AI

AI is the highest demand topic for clients

Management highlighted AI as the highest demand topic, with over 6,000 AI-related documents, more than 200,000 in-depth client conversations on AI, and 500,000 AI-related questions answered through Ask Gartner in 2025. They are leveraging AI internally to speed up insight…

03
AI

Ask Gartner users show higher renewal rates

Management highlighted AI as the highest demand topic, with over 6,000 AI-related documents, more than 200,000 in-depth client conversations on AI, and 500,000 AI-related questions answered through Ask Gartner in 2025. They are leveraging AI internally to speed up insight…

04
Operational Transfor

Insight library grew ~50% and creation time cut by 75%

Management assumes the tough selling environment persists, with no economic improvement expected in 2026.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management highlighted AI as the highest demand topic, with over 6,000 AI-related documents, more than 200,000 in-depth client conversations on AI, and 500,000 AI-related questions answered through Ask Gartner in 2025. They are leveraging AI internally to speed up insight creation and improve sales training, but they do not see AI as a substitute for Gartner's services.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management explicitly assumes the difficult selling environment persists through 2026, with CV growth only gradually accelerating. Guide implies revenue growth of just 2% FX neutral, below prior recovery expectations.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capex was $115 million in 2025, and the 2026 guidance implies a similar level of investment. Management emphasized investments in AI, customer experience, and analyst talent, but no specific capex guidance was provided.

Tone · Measured

Management acknowledged a challenging macro environment but emphasized ongoing transformation and expected CV acceleration, balancing cautious assumptions with confidence in long-term value.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Gartner's neural-network topic model and 'Ask Gartner' AI are driving a step-change in client engagement, with users showing substantially higher renewal rates. This is an internal signal that enterprises are increasingly reliant on AI-hubbed knowledge access, not just AI compute.

“Licensed users who used Ask Gartner had substantially higher renewal rates than those who did not”
Gene Hall
A2

Management plans to grow quota-bearing headcount modestly, with a focus on business developers (new logo sales), while keeping sellers flat. This reflects a strategy to hunt for new logos rather than farm existing accounts in a budget-constrained environment.

“we have very modest Salesforce expansion plan for 2026”
Gene Hall

Forward guidance

SofteningGuidance · revenue to $3.2275B
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$0.00–$12.30$6.15GUIDED
Free cash flowFY2026$0B–$1.135B$0.5675BGUIDED
Op marginFY2026 Q1$0B–$0.37B$0.185BGUIDED
Op marginFY20260%–23.5%11.75%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026$0B–$6.455B$3.2275BGUIDED
RevenueCONFERENCESFY2026$0B–$0.695B$0.3475BGUIDED
RevenueINSIGHTSFY2026$0B–$5.19B$2.595BGUIDED
RevenueCONSULTINGFY2026$0B–$0.57B$0.285BGUIDED

Company read-throughs

+17.5%
since call
$423.90$498.10
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Gartner's neural-network topic model and 'Ask Gartner' AI are driving a step-change in client engagement, with users showing substantially higher renewal rates. This is an internal signal that enterprises are increasingly reliant on AI-hubbed knowledge access, not just AI compute. — Demonstrates that AI-augmented research and workflows are becoming a key driver of enterprise retention, validating the ecosystem play of vendors embedding AI into content and collaboration stacks.

+24.9%
since call
$206.99$258.43
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Management plans to grow quota-bearing headcount modestly, with a focus on business developers (new logo sales), while keeping sellers flat. This reflects a strategy to hunt for new logos rather than farm existing accounts in a budget-constrained environment. — Indicates that even top research/insights vendors are shifting go-to-market spend to net-new acquisition, implying demand for existing-account expansion is weak—negative signal for enterprise software sales execution broadly.