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ITW FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Illinois Tool Works Inc. earnings call

Feb 03, 2026 · 10:00 ET Chris O'HerlihyErin LinehanMichael Larson
Buzzberg read

CBI contribution improved 40 bps to 2.4%, on track for 2030 goal

ITW reported strong Q4 results with better-than-expected revenue growth and record margins, driven by improving demand and enterprise initiatives. Management provided solid 2026 guidance, echoing a cautiously optimistic outlook for the industrial sector. ITW's Q4 organic growth of 1.3% was its best of the year, and total revenue grew 4.1%, including FX and acquisitions.

Buzzberg read CBI contribution improved 40 bps to 2.4%, on track for 2030 goal ITW reported strong Q4 results with better-than-expected revenue growth and record margins, driven by improving demand and enterprise initiatives. Management provided solid 2026 guidance, echoing a cautiously optimistic outlook for the industrial sector. ITW's Q4 organic growth of 1.3% was its best of the year, and total revenue grew 4.1%, including FX and acquisitions. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

ITW reported strong Q4 results with better-than-expected revenue growth and record margins, driven by improving demand and enterprise initiatives. Management provided solid 2026 guidance, echoing a cautiously optimistic outlook for the industrial sector. ITW's Q4 organic growth of 1.3% was its best of the year, and total revenue grew 4.1%, including FX and acquisitions.

  • Q4 operating margin hit a record 26.5%, with all seven segments expanding margins, driven by enterprise initiatives.
  • Management noted broad-based sequential improvement, with particular strength in semiconductors and general industrial orders.
  • 2026 guidance calls for 1-3% organic growth, 7% EPS growth (midpoint $11.20), and ~100 bps of operating margin expansion.
Revenue $4.093B reported
EPS $2.72 reported
Gross margin 44.2% reported
Op margin 26.51% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Innovation

CBI contribution improved 40 bps to 2.4%, on track for 2030 goal

ITW reported strong Q4 results with better-than-expected revenue growth and record margins, driven by improving demand and enterprise initiatives. Management provided solid 2026 guidance, echoing a cautiously optimistic outlook for the industrial sector.

02
Demand

Sequential revenue growth of 4% beat historical average

Management expressed confidence in outperforming end markets, improving margins, and progress on strategic initiatives like CBI, while acknowledging a mixed macro environment.

03
Margins

2026 incremental margins expected mid-to-high 40s, above historical

Reported gross margin was 44.2%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

04
Demand

Semi-related businesses saw mid-single digit growth in Q4

Sequential revenue growth of 4% beat historical average. Management expressed confidence in outperforming end markets, improving margins, and progress on strategic initiatives like CBI, while acknowledging a mixed macro environment.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Sequential revenue growth of 4% beat historical average. Management expressed confidence in outperforming end markets, improving margins, and progress on strategic initiatives like CBI, while acknowledging a mixed macro environment.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management highlighted continued investment in high-return internal projects, with close to $800 million invested in 2025 to accelerate organic growth and sustain productivity, and expects to continue investing in 2026 to maximize long-term performance.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed confidence in outperforming end markets, improving margins, and progress on strategic initiatives like CBI, while acknowledging a mixed macro environment.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

ITW's Q4 sequential revenue growth of 4% was significantly above its historical 2% average, and this improvement was broad-based across the portfolio, suggesting a real macro pickup rather than a company-specific blip.

“Notably, our 4% sequential revenue growth from Q3 to Q4 significantly outperformed our historical sequential average of 2%.”
Michael Larson
A2

ITW's filler metals business is seeing high single-digit growth, a leading indicator for the welding and heavy industrial end markets, and a more tangible sign of a recovery than headline PMI data.

“Equipment was up 4%, and while consumables were flat, filler metals were up in the high single digits.”
Michael Larson
A3

ITW management has stated its incremental margins are now structurally sustainable in the mid-40s, well above its historical 35-40% target range, driven by years of portfolio pruning (PLS) and higher-margin innovations (CBI).

“PLS is effectively a portfolio pruning exercise. ... And that's ultimately why this incremental zone shifted from what was mid 30s to what we know believe to be mid 40s.”
Chris O'Herlihy

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to 3%
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$11.00–$11.40$11.20GUIDED
Free cash flowFY2026100%100%GUIDED
Op marginFY202626.5%–27.5%27%GUIDED
RevenueFY20262%–4%3%GUIDED