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IP FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

International Paper Company earnings call

Jul 30, 2026 · 10:00 ET Andy SilvernailLance LoefflerMandi Gilliland
Buzzberg read

Box volumes up 1.7% year-over-year, outpacing industry by ~2%

IP reported Q2 2026 results highlighting strong operational execution despite a heavy outage schedule, with North America box volumes up 1.7% YoY and on track to outpace the industry. Management reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance range, expecting a significant step-up in H2 driven by price realization, cost-out, and the Riverdale ramp, although macro headwinds like higher OCC, diesel costs, and geopolitical uncertainty present challenges. North America box volumes grew 1.7% YoY in Q2, expected to outpace industry by ~2% for the full year.

Buzzberg read Box volumes up 1.7% year-over-year, outpacing industry by ~2% IP reported Q2 2026 results highlighting strong operational execution despite a heavy outage schedule, with North America box volumes up 1.7% YoY and on track to outpace the industry. Management reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance range, expecting a significant step-up in H2 driven by price realization, cost-out, and the Riverdale ramp, although macro headwinds like higher OCC, diesel costs, and geopolitical uncertainty present challenges. North America box volumes grew 1.7% YoY in Q2, expected to outpace industry by ~2% for the full year. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

IP reported Q2 2026 results highlighting strong operational execution despite a heavy outage schedule, with North America box volumes up 1.7% YoY and on track to outpace the industry. Management reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance range, expecting a significant step-up in H2 driven by price realization, cost-out, and the Riverdale ramp, although macro headwinds like higher OCC, diesel costs, and geopolitical uncertainty present challenges. North America box volumes grew 1.7% YoY in Q2, expected to outpace industry by ~2% for the full year.

  • Riverdale machine conversion complete, ramp-up on track; full run rate expected in Q1 2027.
  • NORPAC acquisition completed, operations returned to pre-incident levels after Nippon steam disruption.
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained at $2.35bn-$2.45bn (excl. Pine Hill impact), with H1 at $902m and expected H2 step-up of ~$600m.
Revenue $6.004B +1% QoQ
EPS $0.04 reported
Gross margin 27.65% reported
Op margin 0.75% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Volume

Box volumes up 1.7% year-over-year, outpacing industry by ~2%

IP reported Q2 2026 results highlighting strong operational execution despite a heavy outage schedule, with North America box volumes up 1.7% YoY and on track to outpace the industry. Management reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance range, expecting a significant…

02
Operations

Mill performance improved ~500 basis points year-over-year

North America box volumes grew 1.7% YoY in Q2, expected to outpace industry by ~2% for the full year.

03
Capex

Riverdale conversion complete, ramp largely achieved by year-end

Management is making focused investments across the company to upgrade the portfolio, drive reliability, and support growth, with returns in the mid-teens to mid-twenties. Key capex projects include the Riverdale machine conversion, NORPAC acquisition, Waterloo facility, and…

04
Guidance

North America second-half EBITDA step-up of ~$600 million

Guidance tone

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Guidance remains positive with a significant step-up expected in H2 2026, driven by price realization, cost-out initiatives, and the Riverdale ramp, despite macro headwinds from inflation and geopolitical conflict. The long-term outlook is maintained, though management is cautious about near-term demand.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is making focused investments across the company to upgrade the portfolio, drive reliability, and support growth, with returns in the mid-teens to mid-twenties. Key capex projects include the Riverdale machine conversion, NORPAC acquisition, Waterloo facility, and EMEA investments like LUCA and Romania. The company expects similar levels of investment in North America for the next two t

Tone · Confident

Management expresses confidence in execution progress, highlights tangible improvements, and reaffirms the path to achieving prior strategic targets despite macro headwinds.

Bottlenecks

Networking

Networking availability is constraining deployment

“also you know we have downgraded or reduced the amount of export that's out into the system so we're pulling that back into the network to make sure we take care of our core customers so it will be a tight couple of months right if you thin”
Andy Silvernail

Supply-chain alpha

A1

IP's rapid resolution of a supply disruption at NORPAC due to the Nippon incident highlights their focus on mill reliability and the return to pre-incident operational levels, signaling strong operational execution.

“The mill's production was temporarily slowed during the Nippon investigation, but we responded quickly to address the reduced steam supply from their facility.”
Andy Silvernail
A2

Management sees a temporary but meaningful demand headwind in July from a West Coast fruit and vegetable slowdown, likely linked to recent contamination issues, highlighting a regional and product-specific softness.

“I do expect to have some headwind in fruit and vegetable on the West Coast in the month of July. We'll have to see, you know, people may have seen the Taco Bell announcements this morning.”
Andy Silvernail

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
UnitsNORTH_AMERICA_BOX_VOLUMEFY20262%2%GUIDED
UnitsCONTAINNERBOARD_PRICE_REFY20265050GUIDED