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HPQ FY2026 Q3 IMPROVING

HP Inc. earnings call

Aug 26, 2026 · 17:30 ET Alok JuyalBruce BroussardKaren Parkhill
Buzzberg read

Record Q3 revenue up 13%, ninth straight quarter of growth

HP Inc. reported a record Q3 with strong revenue growth driven by personal systems, though margins are under pressure from rising component costs. Management is guiding to a margin trough in Q4 before a recovery in FY27, citing a disciplined mitigation strategy and a mix shift to higher-value AI and premium PCs. The tone was cautiously optimistic on the future of edge AI compute. HPQ delivered record Q3 revenue of $15.7B, up 13% YoY, driven by a robust personal systems segment (up 18%).

Buzzberg read Record Q3 revenue up 13%, ninth straight quarter of growth HP Inc. reported a record Q3 with strong revenue growth driven by personal systems, though margins are under pressure from rising component costs. Management is guiding to a margin trough in Q4 before a recovery in FY27, citing a disciplined mitigation strategy and a mix shift to higher-value AI and premium PCs. The tone was cautiously optimistic on the future of edge AI compute. HPQ delivered record Q3 revenue of $15.7B, up 13% YoY, driven by a robust personal systems segment (up 18%). Read full analysisCollapse analysis

HP Inc. reported a record Q3 with strong revenue growth driven by personal systems, though margins are under pressure from rising component costs. Management is guiding to a margin trough in Q4 before a recovery in FY27, citing a disciplined mitigation strategy and a mix shift to higher-value AI and premium PCs. The tone was cautiously optimistic on the future of edge AI compute. HPQ delivered record Q3 revenue of $15.7B, up 13% YoY, driven by a robust personal systems segment (up 18%).

  • Gross and operating margins contracted due to higher commodity costs, but EPS beat guidance, partly due to one-time tariff refunds.
  • The company raised its full-year EPS and Free Cash Flow guidance.
  • Management guides to a Q4 operating margin trough, with a recovery expected in FY27.
Revenue $15.677B +9% QoQ
EPS $0.83 -3% QoQ
Gross margin 18.79% reported
Op margin 5.69% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Revenue

Record Q3 revenue up 13%, ninth straight quarter of growth

HP Inc. reported a record Q3 with strong revenue growth driven by personal systems, though margins are under pressure from rising component costs. Management is guiding to a margin trough in Q4 before a recovery in FY27, citing a disciplined mitigation strategy and a mix shift…

02
AI

AI PCs set to be 50% of shipment mix by year-end

Management is positioning HP as a trusted edge AI platform, citing growing customer demand for on-device AI to lower token costs and improve latency, security, and governance. They highlighted a strong AIPC mix (46% in Q3, targeting 50% by year-end), new products like HP ZGX…

03
Guidance

Q4 EPS guidance above prior year, but margins to trough

Guidance tone

04
Margins

Input costs expected to rise, but slower in FY27

Reported gross margin was 18.79%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management is positioning HP as a trusted edge AI platform, citing growing customer demand for on-device AI to lower token costs and improve latency, security, and governance. They highlighted a strong AIPC mix (46% in Q3, targeting 50% by year-end), new products like HP ZGX FURY and Omnibook Ultra 16, and a scaled OpenAI partnership to integrate AI internally.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management cited a 13% revenue increase (record Q3) driven by personal systems, with continued demand for AIPC and edge AI workloads. They noted that customers are refreshing to higher-spec PCs for AI, and that the Win 11 refresh (now ~70% complete) is being augmented by AI-driven demand. However, they expect PC unit TAM to decline high-teens in 2H26 due to price increases, causing some demand def

Capex

Investment and capacity

No explicit capital expenditure figures or infrastructure investment plans were discussed beyond general mentions of building an enhanced operating model and investing in innovation. Management emphasized cost mitigation and a focus on profitable growth rather than large-scale capex.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed confidence in execution, growth areas, and long-term positioning despite near-term margin pressures from commodity costs, emphasizing strong revenue growth, share gains in premium segments, and an optimistic outlook for AI-driven opportunity.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

HP is confident of its memory supply for this fiscal year and beyond, indicating allocations are holding despite a 'constrained memory environment'.

“We remain confident in our memory and storage supply availability for this fiscal year and our focus on our needs into next year and beyond.”
Bruce Broussard
A2

The 'tariff refund' benefit of 19 cents per share for the year is a non-operating cash boost that lifted reported margins, masking underlying cost pressure.

“We now expect diluted net earnings per share to be in the range of 319 to 329, up from our previous range of 290 to 310, and including a 19 cent favorable impact from estimated tariff refunds.”
Karen Parkhill
A3

HP gained significant share in the premium PC and workstation categories (2.6 and 1.8 points, respectively) during a quarter with steep price increases, showing it is winning in high-value segments while its overall unit volumes declined.

“We grew 2.6 points of share on premium and 1.8 points of share on workstation. Those are categories which are growing and something which we are pleased that we continue to take share.”
Katen Patel
A4

HP's PC market view for the second half of calendar 2026 anticipates unit declines of 'high teens,' which is a more pessimistic outlook than typical seasonality and a result of component-driven price increases dampening demand.

“we remain aligned with industry experts, projecting the PC unit TAM to decline high teams year-over-year for the second half of the calendar year.”
Karen Parkhill

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026 Q4$0.69–$0.79$0.74GUIDED
EPSFY2026$3.19–$3.29$3.24RAISED
Free cash flowFY2026$3B–$3.2B$3.1BRAISED

Guidance credibility

3 / 3met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q2EPSFY2026 Q3$0.61–$0.71$0.83Met / beat
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$0.70–$0.76$0.86Met / beat
FY2025 Q4EPSFY2026 Q1$0.73–$0.81$0.81Met / beat

Company read-throughs

since call
Customers

A significant new customer win for HP's Industrial printing and AI solutions, validating its strategy.

“In Q3, we also signed a three-year, $100 million strategic agreement with RRD, one of the world's leading print service providers.”
Bruce Broussard
+3.0%
since call
$218.29$224.92
Partners

HP is using NVIDIA's AI compute platforms in its premium PCs to capitalize on the edge AI trend.

“powered by NVIDIA RTX Spark.”
Bruce Broussard
OPENAI
Private company
Partners

HP is scaling its use of OpenAI tools, indicating a deepening partnership and growing dependency on OpenAI's technology for its own operations.

“As Passport, we scaled our work with OpenAI. Through OpenAI Frontier, we are integrating AI across the customer and partner experiences”
Bruce Broussard
-5.2%
since call
$481.60$456.45
+1.1%
since call
$89.18$90.16
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

HP's PC market view for the second half of calendar 2026 anticipates unit declines of 'high teens,' which is a more pessimistic outlook than typical seasonality and a result of component-driven price increases dampening demand. — Confirms that component price increases are leading to significant unit demand destruction, a negative signal for the entire PC supply chain.

-0.8%
since call
$959.99$952.80
-5.3%
since call
$1,704,000.00$1,613,000.00
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

HP is confident of its memory supply for this fiscal year and beyond, indicating allocations are holding despite a 'constrained memory environment'. — This suggests that major memory suppliers are prioritizing high-margin enterprise customers like HP, potentially at the expense of others.

-3.2%
since call
$192.96$186.75
Supply chain

Validation of HP's software portfolio by a major industry analyst firm.

+3.2%
since call
$469.68$484.77
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

HP gained significant share in the premium PC and workstation categories (2.6 and 1.8 points, respectively) during a quarter with steep price increases, showing it is winning in high-value segments while its overall unit volumes declined. — Suggests HP is successfully shifting its product mix to higher-ASP, higher-margin categories, potentially taking share from competitors in these segments.

+3.9%
since call
$312.46$324.68
Supply chain

HP gained significant share in the premium PC and workstation categories (2.6 and 1.8 points, respectively) during a quarter with steep price increases, showing it is winning in high-value segments while its overall unit volumes declined. — Suggests HP is successfully shifting its product mix to higher-ASP, higher-margin categories, potentially taking share from competitors in these segments.

+3.2%
since call
$469.68$484.77
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The 'tariff refund' benefit of 19 cents per share for the year is a non-operating cash boost that lifted reported margins, masking underlying cost pressure.