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GNRC FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Generac Holdlings Inc. earnings call

Feb 11, 2026 · 10:00 ET Aaron JogfeldChris RosemanYork Reagan
Buzzberg read

Data center backlog grows to $400 million

Generac reported a weak Q4 2025 with revenue down 12%, driven by a severe drop in residential sales due to low outage activity, but provided strong double-digit growth guidance for 2026, powered by a ramp in data center CNI products and a recovery in home standby. The company is making significant capacity investments to capture the data center opportunity, with a growing backlog and early progress with hyperscalers. Q4 revenue fell 12% YoY to $1.1B, with residential sales down 23%, but CNI product sales grew 10% on data center demand.

Buzzberg read Data center backlog grows to $400 million Generac reported a weak Q4 2025 with revenue down 12%, driven by a severe drop in residential sales due to low outage activity, but provided strong double-digit growth guidance for 2026, powered by a ramp in data center CNI products and a recovery in home standby. The company is making significant capacity investments to capture the data center opportunity, with a growing backlog and early progress with hyperscalers. Q4 revenue fell 12% YoY to $1.1B, with residential sales down 23%, but CNI product sales grew 10% on data center demand. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Generac reported a weak Q4 2025 with revenue down 12%, driven by a severe drop in residential sales due to low outage activity, but provided strong double-digit growth guidance for 2026, powered by a ramp in data center CNI products and a recovery in home standby. The company is making significant capacity investments to capture the data center opportunity, with a growing backlog and early progress with hyperscalers. Q4 revenue fell 12% YoY to $1.1B, with residential sales down 23%, but CNI product sales grew 10% on data center demand.

  • Data center backlog now $400M, primarily from co-locators, with hyperscaler pilots expected to complete early Q2 2026.
  • Domestic manufacturing capacity for large megawatt generators is expected to surpass $1B by Q4 2026.
  • 2026 guidance calls for mid-teens revenue growth, driven by a 30% increase in CNI sales and recovery in home standby sales.
COMMERCIAL revenue $400M reported
RESIDENTIAL revenue $572M reported
Revenue $1.0915B reported
EPS $1.61 reported

What changed this quarter

01
Data Center

Data center backlog grows to $400 million

Generac reported a weak Q4 2025 with revenue down 12%, driven by a severe drop in residential sales due to low outage activity, but provided strong double-digit growth guidance for 2026, powered by a ramp in data center CNI products and a recovery in home standby. The company…

02
Data Center

Pilot phases underway with two hyperscalers for 2027/2028 volumes

Q4 revenue fell 12% YoY to $1.1B, with residential sales down 23%, but CNI product sales grew 10% on data center demand.

03
Capex

Domestic large MW capacity to exceed $1B by Q4 2026

Management is significantly increasing capital expenditure and manufacturing capacity, including purchasing a new facility in Wisconsin and ramping domestic capacity for large megawatt generators to over $1 billion by Q4 2026, to support expected data center demand growth.

04
Guidance

Home standby sales expected up mid-teens in 2026

Guidance · revenue to 15%

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Guidance calls for strong growth driven by data center CNI sales and a recovery in residential, with improving EBITDA margins.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is significantly increasing capital expenditure and manufacturing capacity, including purchasing a new facility in Wisconsin and ramping domestic capacity for large megawatt generators to over $1 billion by Q4 2026, to support expected data center demand growth.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed confidence in the data center opportunity and residential recovery, citing strong backlog growth, progress with hyperscalers, and expectations for normalized outage activity.

Bottlenecks

Power & gridworsening

Power or grid availability is constraining capacity

“At the same time, we believe we are well positioned to capitalize on the massive growth opportunity presented by the supply shortage of mission-critical backup power generators for the data center market.”
Aaron Jogfeld
Components

Component availability is constraining production

“We think in the context of the other part of your question about the rest of the market and where we are competitively, um, you know, we think that our lead times are going to remain shorter than the rest of the market, at least for the nea”
Aaron Jogfeld
Componentspersistent

Component availability is constraining production

“Our engine partner, we believe, can allow us to continue to keep shorter lead times because of their overall investment in their capacity, which gives us access to what is arguably the most critical component in the Genset in terms of long”
Aaron Jogfeld
Power & grid

Power or grid availability is constraining capacity

“We are seeing certain spark ignited engines being used in applications behind the meter to power data centers where grid interconnect is not available and where the lead time is to wait for maybe a traditional gas turbine or a different sol”
Aaron Jogfeld

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Management expects the domestic manufacturing capacity for large megawatt generators to surpass $1 billion by Q4 2026, partly via the purchase of a new facility in Wisconsin, before signing contracts with hyperscalers.

“As a result of these investments, we expect that our domestic manufacturing capacity for large megawatt generators will surpass $1 billion by the fourth quarter of this year.”
Aaron Jogfeld
A2

The data center backlog has grown to $400 million, but this excludes most orders from hyperscalers, which are still in pilot/negotiation phases. Remaining backlog is from co-locators and developers.

“The backlog, there's a couple of units in there for the pilot program but that's it so um the 400 million and remember the 400 million is after we uh you know we began shipping product in q4 and here also started q1 so good order flow agai…”
Aaron Jogfeld
A3

Data center product margins are expected to be in the mid-teens in 2026, improving to high-teens by 2027-2028 as scale ramps. This is roughly in line with corporate average margins.

“We're seeing around mid-teens EBITDA margins or contribution margins for these projects in 2026. And then as we ramp up and get more scale, uh, we're, we're seeing more high teens margins in the 27, 28 range in the data center space.”
York Reagan
A4

Data center demand is consuming capacity from traditional CNI products, but the company is separating the opportunities, noting the $400 billion backlog does not include traditional large-megawatt products.

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to 15%
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY20263.5%3.5%INITIATED
Free cash flowFY2026$350M$350MINITIATED
Gross marginFY202638%–39%38.5%INITIATED
Op marginFY202618%–19%18.5%INITIATED
RevenueFY202614.5%–15.5%15%INITIATED
RevenueFY2026 Q111%–13%12%INITIATED