Skip to earnings analysis
← Back to feed
FLEX FY2026 Q4 IMPROVING

Flex Ltd. earnings call

May 06, 2026 · 08:30 ET Kevin KrumMichael HartungMichelle Simmons
Buzzberg read

CPI growth expected to accelerate to 65-75% in FY27 and 80%+ in FY28.

Flex reported a strong Q4 FY26 and guided to +18% revenue growth and +32% EPS growth for FY27, driven by a massive acceleration in its Cloud & Power Infrastructure (CPI) segment, which is being spun off. The company gave extremely bullish long-term growth targets for CPI, underpinned by a large multi-year deal with Google, and indicated heavy capex investment is required in FY27. Announced spin-off of Cloud & Power Infrastructure (CPI) segment into a new publicly traded company, expected to complete in Q1 calendar 2027; CEO Revathy Advisey will lead SpinCo, Michael Hartung becomes CEO of Flex.

Buzzberg read CPI growth expected to accelerate to 65-75% in FY27 and 80%+ in FY28. Flex reported a strong Q4 FY26 and guided to +18% revenue growth and +32% EPS growth for FY27, driven by a massive acceleration in its Cloud & Power Infrastructure (CPI) segment, which is being spun off. The company gave extremely bullish long-term growth targets for CPI, underpinned by a large multi-year deal with Google, and indicated heavy capex investment is required in FY27. Announced spin-off of Cloud & Power Infrastructure (CPI) segment into a new publicly traded company, expected to complete in Q1 calendar 2027; CEO Revathy Advisey will lead SpinCo, Michael Hartung becomes CEO of Flex. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Flex reported a strong Q4 FY26 and guided to +18% revenue growth and +32% EPS growth for FY27, driven by a massive acceleration in its Cloud & Power Infrastructure (CPI) segment, which is being spun off. The company gave extremely bullish long-term growth targets for CPI, underpinned by a large multi-year deal with Google, and indicated heavy capex investment is required in FY27. Announced spin-off of Cloud & Power Infrastructure (CPI) segment into a new publicly traded company, expected to complete in Q1 calendar 2027; CEO Revathy Advisey will lead SpinCo, Michael Hartung becomes CEO of Flex.

  • CPI FY27 revenue growth guided at 65-75%, with FY28 growth of +80%, driven by multi-year deals with Google and other customers.
  • Total FY27 growth guided at 18% to $32.3-33.8B, driven by CPI, with adjusted EPS growth of 32% to $4.21-4.51.
  • Acquired Electrical Power Products (EP2) to strengthen utility-grade power infrastructure portfolio.
CPI revenue $1.8B reported
Revenue $7.477B +6% QoQ
EPS $0.67 -23% QoQ
Gross margin 9.76% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

CPI growth expected to accelerate to 65-75% in FY27 and 80%+ in FY28.

Guidance · revenue to $33.05B

02
Demand

Multi-year contract with Google secured, spanning power and compute integration.

Management expressed strong conviction in the spin-off and robust growth outlook, highlighting significant customer wins and confident in execution.

03
AI

AI driving need for integrated power and thermal systems from grid to chip.

Management emphasized AI as the primary driver of demand for data center infrastructure, with the spin-off and investments in power and thermal management positioned to capitalize on the 'generational transformation' in compute density and electrical architecture.

04
Capex

CapEx to remain elevated in FY27, normalize by FY28.

Management guided to elevated capex in fiscal 2027 ($1.4-1.6 billion) to fund capacity for new data center contracts, expecting investments to normalize in fiscal 2028, with CPI returning to 2.5-3% of revenue.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management emphasized AI as the primary driver of demand for data center infrastructure, with the spin-off and investments in power and thermal management positioned to capitalize on the 'generational transformation' in compute density and electrical architecture.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Multi-year contract with Google secured, spanning power and compute integration.. Management expressed strong conviction in the spin-off and robust growth outlook, highlighting significant customer wins and confident in execution.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management guided to elevated capex in fiscal 2027 ($1.4-1.6 billion) to fund capacity for new data center contracts, expecting investments to normalize in fiscal 2028, with CPI returning to 2.5-3% of revenue.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed strong conviction in the spin-off and robust growth outlook, highlighting significant customer wins and confident in execution.

Bottlenecks

Power & grid

Power or grid availability is constraining capacity

“These capabilities are becoming critical as data center growth places greater demands on power availability and reliability.”
Revathy Advisey

Supply-chain alpha

A1

CPI revenue is guided to grow 65-75% in FY27 and 80%+ in FY28, but Q1 growth is only 20-30%, implying a very back-half-loaded ramp as new capacity comes online.

“We expect CPI growth to ramp in the second half of fiscal 27 as investments made in fiscal 26 allow us to deliver against robust demand from recent program wins.”
Kevin Krum
A2

Management has 'line of sight' into FY28/29 capex requirements and expects FY27's elevated capex ($1.4-1.6B vs $625M in FY26) to be temporary, normalizing in FY28.

“We have line of sight into fiscal year 28 and 29 requirements and expect CapEx to normalize in fiscal year 28.”
Revathy Advisey

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $33.05B · was RAISED last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2027$1.4B–$1.6B$1.5BGUIDED
EPSFY2027$4.21–$4.51$4.36GUIDED
Op marginCPIFY202810.2%–10.7%10.45%GUIDED
RevenueFY2027$32.3B–$33.8B$33.05BGUIDED
RevenueCPIFY202765%–75%70%GUIDED
RevenueFY2027 Q1$7.35B–$7.65B$7.5BGUIDED

Guidance credibility

1 / 2met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q3EPSFY2026 Q4$0.83–$0.89$0.67Missed
FY2026 Q3RevenueFY2026 Q4$6.75B–$7.05B$7.477BMet / beat

Company read-throughs

-12.1%
since call
$396.08$348.11
CustomersSupply-chain alpha

CPI revenue is guided to grow 65-75% in FY27 and 80%+ in FY28, but Q1 growth is only 20-30%, implying a very back-half-loaded ramp as new capacity comes online. — The shape of the guide means nearly all upside to the growth outlook is concentrated in the second half, making the pace of capacity additions the key swing factor.

“we've recently secured substantial incremental business with several hyperscaler and data center customers, including Google.”
Revathy Advisey
-28.1%
since call
$354.40$254.80
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Management has 'line of sight' into FY28/29 capex requirements and expects FY27's elevated capex ($1.4-1.6B vs $625M in FY26) to be temporary, normalizing in FY28. — The heavy short-term capex is a bottleneck for the AI data center build-out; suppliers and investors should watch for a potential capacity glut if other players make similar moves.