Skip to earnings analysis
← Back to feed
FDX FY2026 Q3 RAISED

FedEx Corporation earnings call

Mar 19, 2026 · 13:30 ET Brie CarreriJenny HollanderJohn Dietrich
Buzzberg read

FY26 EPS guidance raised to $19.30-$20.10

FedEx reported a strong Q3 FY2026 with FEC margin expansion and a record profitable peak, raised full-year EPS and revenue guidance, and outlined strategic initiatives including Network 2.0, automation pilots, and a bid for InPost. Management highlighted successful capacity reallocation away from Trans-Pacific and cost discipline amid trade policy and LTL headwinds. FEC revenue grew 10%, adjusted operating margin expanded 50bps; sixth consecutive quarter of margin expansion.

Buzzberg read FY26 EPS guidance raised to $19.30-$20.10 FedEx reported a strong Q3 FY2026 with FEC margin expansion and a record profitable peak, raised full-year EPS and revenue guidance, and outlined strategic initiatives including Network 2.0, automation pilots, and a bid for InPost. Management highlighted successful capacity reallocation away from Trans-Pacific and cost discipline amid trade policy and LTL headwinds. FEC revenue grew 10%, adjusted operating margin expanded 50bps; sixth consecutive quarter of margin expansion. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

FedEx reported a strong Q3 FY2026 with FEC margin expansion and a record profitable peak, raised full-year EPS and revenue guidance, and outlined strategic initiatives including Network 2.0, automation pilots, and a bid for InPost. Management highlighted successful capacity reallocation away from Trans-Pacific and cost discipline amid trade policy and LTL headwinds. FEC revenue grew 10%, adjusted operating margin expanded 50bps; sixth consecutive quarter of margin expansion.

  • Full-year EPS guidance raised to $19.30-$20.10 from $17.80-$19.00; revenue growth forecast raised to 6-6.5%.
  • Network 2.0 now routes 35% of eligible volume; cumulative savings of $2B by FY27 on track.
  • Trans-Pacific air capacity cut ~15-25%; capacity reallocated to Asia-Europe/Intra-Asia which drove strong revenue.
Revenue $24B +2% QoQ
EPS $5.25 +9% QoQ
Gross margin 21.35% reported
Op margin 6.73% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

FY26 EPS guidance raised to $19.30-$20.10

Guidance · revenue to 6.25%

02
Margins

FEC operating margin expanded for sixth consecutive quarter

Reported gross margin was 21.35%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

03
Strategy

Network 2.0 on track to 65% eligible volume by next peak

Full-year EPS guidance raised to $19.30-$20.10 from $17.80-$19.00; revenue growth forecast raised to 6-6.5%.

04
Capex

CapEx reduced to at most $4.1 billion for FY26

Management is cutting FY26 capital expenditure to no more than $4.1 billion, down at least $400 million from the prior forecast of $4.5 billion, while prioritizing investments in Network 2.0 and returning cash to stockholders. They remain committed to keeping aircraft capex at…

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Strongest profitable market share growth in over 20 years. Management emphasized strong execution, raised full-year guidance, and highlighted structural improvements in peak profitability and network efficiency.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is cutting FY26 capital expenditure to no more than $4.1 billion, down at least $400 million from the prior forecast of $4.5 billion, while prioritizing investments in Network 2.0 and returning cash to stockholders. They remain committed to keeping aircraft capex at $1 billion or below this fiscal year and through 2029.

Tone · Confident

Management emphasized strong execution, raised full-year guidance, and highlighted structural improvements in peak profitability and network efficiency.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

FedEx reduced trans-Pacific outbound purple and white tail capacity by ~15% and ~25% respectively, reallocating to Asia-Europe and intra-Asia lanes which drove strong revenue growth.

“We reduced trans-Pacific outbound purple and white tail capacity by approximately 15% and 25%, respectively, during the quarter.”
Raj Subramaniam
A2

MD-11 grounding created a $120M adjusted operating income headwind in Q3, with up to $55M more expected in Q4 as aircraft return late in the quarter.

“the MD-11 grounding led to a headwind of $120 million of adjusted operating income in the quarter... an additional year-over-year headwind in Q4 of up to $55 million”
John Dietrich
A3

Network 2.0 now routes 35% of eligible volume through optimized facilities, targeting 65% by next peak; cumulative savings of $2B by end of 2027 remain on track.

“By the end of this month, about 35% of eligible volume will flow through nearly 400 network 2.0 optimized facilities.”
Raj Subramaniam

Forward guidance

RaisedGuidance · revenue to 6.25% · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$4.1B$4.1BLOWERED
EPSFY2026$19.30–$20.10$19.70RAISED
RevenueFY20266%–6.5%6.25%RAISED
RevenueFY2026 Q46%–7.5%6.75%GUIDED
RevenueFECFY2026 Q48%8%GUIDED

Guidance credibility

3 / 6met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q4CapexFY2026$3.9B$3.8BMissed
FY2026 Q4EPSFY2026$16.90–$18.10$20.24Met / beat
FY2026 Q2CapexFY2026$4.5B$3.8BMissed
FY2026 Q2EPSFY2026$17.80–$19.00$20.24Met / beat
FY2026 Q1CapexFY2026$4.5B$3.8BMissed
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026$17.20–$19.00$20.24Met / beat

Company read-throughs

since call
Customers

Amazon volume through FedEx Ground Home Delivery is growing but deliberately kept immaterial; FedEx controls the relationship to avoid over-dependence.

“from a home delivery, yes, that is where you will see the majority of the Amazon volume. It is still ramping and it is not material in this quarter, and we don't anticipate it will be material.”
Brie Carreri
since call
Partners

Joint index combines shipping and business data to detect retail inflection points; new data product could enhance D&B's analytics offering.

“Together, we will be launching the Dun & Bradstreet and FedEx DataWorks Retail Momentum Index...”
Raj Subramaniam
since call
Suppliers

FedEx is piloting Berkshire Gray's robotic unloader, signaling adoption of physical AI; if successful, could scale and benefit BGRY's revenue.

“Last month, we announced the implementation of a new autonomous robotic system from Berkshire Gray, the Scoop robotic package unloader.”
Raj Subramaniam
since call
Competitors

FedEx is part of a consortium bidding for InPost, indicating a strategic push into European out-of-home delivery, but will remain competitors; deal expected accretive in year one.

“Last month, we also announced our participation in a consortium, making an offer for all shares of InPost.”
Raj Subramaniam
+4.8%
since call
$98.10$102.86
since call
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

FedEx reduced trans-Pacific outbound purple and white tail capacity by ~15% and ~25% respectively, reallocating to Asia-Europe and intra-Asia lanes which drove strong revenue growth. — Shift reflects trade route rebalancing due to tariffs; capacity away from Trans-Pacific may tighten air freight rates into Europe and benefit competing integrators on that lane.

since call
since call
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

MD-11 grounding created a $120M adjusted operating income headwind in Q3, with up to $55M more expected in Q4 as aircraft return late in the quarter.