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DHI FY2025 Q4 IN LINE

D.R. Horton, Inc. earnings call

Oct 28, 2025 · 04:30 ET Bill PrewettJessica BassettMichael J. Murray
Buzzberg read

Company to increase starts pace in first half of fiscal 2026

D.R. Horton reported Q4 FY25 results in line with its earlier guide, with homebuilding gross margin of 20% (including 60bps of unusual litigation costs). Management guided FY26 to modest volume growth (86-88k closings) but continued margin pressure from elevated incentives and sticky lot costs. The company emphasized its affordable price positioning and plan to renegotiate stick-and-brick costs, while keeping inventory lean and maintaining strong cash flow generation. Q4 FY25 homebuilding gross margin of 20% missed the low-end of guidance by ~40bps, driven by higher-than-expected incentives; unusual litigation costs added 60bps but are not expected to repeat.

Buzzberg read Company to increase starts pace in first half of fiscal 2026 D.R. Horton reported Q4 FY25 results in line with its earlier guide, with homebuilding gross margin of 20% (including 60bps of unusual litigation costs). Management guided FY26 to modest volume growth (86-88k closings) but continued margin pressure from elevated incentives and sticky lot costs. The company emphasized its affordable price positioning and plan to renegotiate stick-and-brick costs, while keeping inventory lean and maintaining strong cash flow generation. Q4 FY25 homebuilding gross margin of 20% missed the low-end of guidance by ~40bps, driven by higher-than-expected incentives; unusual litigation costs added 60bps but are not expected to repeat. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

D.R. Horton reported Q4 FY25 results in line with its earlier guide, with homebuilding gross margin of 20% (including 60bps of unusual litigation costs). Management guided FY26 to modest volume growth (86-88k closings) but continued margin pressure from elevated incentives and sticky lot costs. The company emphasized its affordable price positioning and plan to renegotiate stick-and-brick costs, while keeping inventory lean and maintaining strong cash flow generation. Q4 FY25 homebuilding gross margin of 20% missed the low-end of guidance by ~40bps, driven by higher-than-expected incentives; unusual litigation costs added 60bps but are not expected to repeat.

  • FY26 full-year guidance: consolidated revenues $33.5-35B, closings 86,000-88,000 homes, operating cash flow at least $3B.
  • Q1 FY26 guide: revenues $6.3-6.8B, closings 17,100-17,600, homebuilding gross margin 20-20.5%, consolidated pre-tax margin 11.3-11.8%.
  • Average selling price remains ~30% below U.S. new-home average, reinforcing affordability strategy; incentives are expected to stay elevated with continued use of 3.99% rate buy-downs.
Revenue $9.6778B reported
EPS $3.04 reported
HOMEBUILDING gross margin 20% reported
Gross margin 21.67% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Supply

Company to increase starts pace in first half of fiscal 2026

D.R. Horton reported Q4 FY25 results in line with its earlier guide, with homebuilding gross margin of 20% (including 60bps of unusual litigation costs). Management guided FY26 to modest volume growth (86-88k closings) but continued margin pressure from elevated incentives and…

02
Margins

Gross margin to improve in Q1, incentives remain elevated

Reported gross margin was 21.67%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

03
Supply

Homebuilding inventory down 21% year over year

FY26 full-year guidance: consolidated revenues $33.5-35B, closings 86,000-88,000 homes, operating cash flow at least $3B.

04
Buybacks

Share repurchases to drop to $2.5 billion in fiscal 2026

Q1 FY26 guide: revenues $6.3-6.8B, closings 17,100-17,600, homebuilding gross margin 20-20.5%, consolidated pre-tax margin 11.3-11.8%.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management guided to higher closings volume but with continued margin pressure from incentives and sticky lot costs, and a lower share repurchase plan, reflecting cautious optimism balanced by affordability headwinds.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management discussed reducing inventory levels deliberately, with land, lot, and development investments of $8.5 billion in fiscal 2025, while expecting to adjust starts pace based on market conditions. They are actively managing investments in lots, land, and development, and expect to increase starts in the first half of fiscal 2026 in preparation for the spring selling season.

Tone · Cautious

Management repeatedly emphasized adapting to market conditions, affordability constraints, and uncertainty, while expressing confidence in their positioning and long-term outlook.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

D.R. Horton's average selling price is ~30% below the U.S. new-home average and $65,000 below the median existing-home price, reinforcing its affordable-price positioning that can steal share from both new-home competitors and the resale market.

“Our average sales price is lower than the average sales price of new homes in the United States by $140,000, or almost 30%. Additionally, the median sales price of our homes is $65,000 lower than the median price of an existing home.”
Michael J. Murray

Forward guidance

In LineGuidance · revenue to $6.55B
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
Free cash flowFY2026$3B$3BGUIDED
Gross marginHOMEBUILDINGFY2026 Q120%–20.5%20.25%GUIDED
Op marginFY2026 Q111.3%–11.8%11.55%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q1$6.3B–$6.8B$6.55BGUIDED
RevenueFY2026$33.5B–$35B$34.25BGUIDED
UnitsHOMEBUILDINGFY2026 Q117100–1760017350GUIDED
UnitsHOMEBUILDINGFY202686000–8800087000GUIDED

Guidance credibility

5 / 6met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q2Gross marginFY2026 Q319.7%–20.2%20.7%Met / beat
FY2026 Q2Op marginFY2026 Q312.2%–12.7%13.29%Met / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$8.8B–$9.3B$9.2271BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1Op marginFY2026 Q210.6%–11.1%10.58%Met / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$7.3B–$7.8B$7.5581BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1UnitsFY2026 Q2$19.7K–$20.2K$19.486KMissed

Company read-throughs

-32.3%
since call
$124.97$84.59
+7.4%
since call
$116.00$124.60
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

D.R. Horton's average selling price is ~30% below the U.S. new-home average and $65,000 below the median existing-home price, reinforcing its affordable-price positioning that can steal share from both new-home competitors and the resale market. — Sustained affordability advantage lets D.R. Horton capture incremental demand in a rate-sensitive environment while competitors with higher price points may lose share.