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CSX FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

CSX Corporation earnings call

Jul 22, 2026 · 12:30 ET Kevin BooneMary Claire KenneyMatthew Korn
Buzzberg read

Revenue up 10% to record; guidance raised

CSX reported a strong Q2 with 6% volume growth and 10% revenue growth, driven by broad-based demand and tight truck capacity. Management raised full-year guidance significantly, citing robust volume trends, cost discipline, and favorable market conditions. Key themes include capacity gains from Howard Street Tunnel, partnership momentum with CPKC, and modest hiring to address service tightness. Volume up 6%, revenue up 10% (record), operating income +17%, margins +240 bps despite fuel headwinds.

Buzzberg read Revenue up 10% to record; guidance raised CSX reported a strong Q2 with 6% volume growth and 10% revenue growth, driven by broad-based demand and tight truck capacity. Management raised full-year guidance significantly, citing robust volume trends, cost discipline, and favorable market conditions. Key themes include capacity gains from Howard Street Tunnel, partnership momentum with CPKC, and modest hiring to address service tightness. Volume up 6%, revenue up 10% (record), operating income +17%, margins +240 bps despite fuel headwinds. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

CSX reported a strong Q2 with 6% volume growth and 10% revenue growth, driven by broad-based demand and tight truck capacity. Management raised full-year guidance significantly, citing robust volume trends, cost discipline, and favorable market conditions. Key themes include capacity gains from Howard Street Tunnel, partnership momentum with CPKC, and modest hiring to address service tightness. Volume up 6%, revenue up 10% (record), operating income +17%, margins +240 bps despite fuel headwinds.

  • Full-year guidance raised: revenue growth mid-to-high single digits (qualitative), operating margin expansion >350 bps, FCF growth >80%.
  • Crew availability tightness in Q2 due to seasonal absences and stronger-than-expected demand; modest headcount additions planned.
  • Truck capacity tightening accelerating rail conversions, especially in forest products and domestic intermodal.
Revenue $3.935B +13% QoQ
EPS $0.54 +26% QoQ
Op margin 38.27% reported
Free cash flow $0.751B +3% QoQ

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

Revenue up 10% to record; guidance raised

Guidance tone

02
Margins

Operating margins improved 240 bps despite fuel headwinds

Volume up 6%, revenue up 10% (record), operating income +17%, margins +240 bps despite fuel headwinds.

03
Other

Headcount down 6% with cost discipline

Full-year guidance raised: revenue growth mid-to-high single digits (qualitative), operating margin expansion >350 bps, FCF growth >80%.

04
Demand

Intermodal revenue up 26% on 9% volume growth

Management expressed confidence with raised guidance, record revenue, and strong margin expansion, while acknowledging service metric challenges but expecting improvement.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management mentioned that AI can be used for price analytical tools to improve pricing capabilities, but no other AI-related discussion occurred.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Intermodal revenue up 26% on 9% volume growth. Management expressed confidence with raised guidance, record revenue, and strong margin expansion, while acknowledging service metric challenges but expecting improvement.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capital spending outlook remains unchanged at less than $2.4 billion, with no discussion of data centers, fabs, or supply constraints.

Tone · confident

Management expressed confidence with raised guidance, record revenue, and strong margin expansion, while acknowledging service metric challenges but expecting improvement.

Bottlenecks

Networking

Networking availability is constraining deployment

“But in terms of the network itself, we showed with the volume we brought, with the exception of some locations where we were very tight on crews, we can handle it and we can handle more.”
Mike Corey

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Crew availability tightness from seasonal absences and unexpected demand surge pressured service metrics, but modest headcount additions are planned to improve fluidity without sacrificing productivity.

“the demand came in much stronger than we expected and we were tighter on crews in some of our locations. volume was up 6% across the network and higher in some individual locations while the headcount was lower than last year.”
Mike Corey

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$2.4B$2.4BMAINTAINED
Free cash flowFY202680%80%RAISED
Op marginFY20263.5%3.5%RAISED

Company read-throughs

+7.1%
since call
$90.30$96.72
PartnersSupply-chain alpha

Crew availability tightness from seasonal absences and unexpected demand surge pressured service metrics, but modest headcount additions are planned to improve fluidity without sacrificing productivity. — Indicates near-term service constraints that could limit share gains if not resolved, but also shows operational resilience and a targeted hiring strategy.

“we've seen growth week over week in both of those areas”
Mary Claire Kenney