Carrier exceeded internal expectations for Q1, with robust growth in commercial HVAC and data center orders, while residential markets remained soft. Management reaffirmed the full-year guide, planning to offset tariff-related cost increases with aggressive pricing actions. Total company orders up 11%, driven by 35% growth in commercial HVAC and data center orders up over 500%.
Buzzberg readGlobal data center orders up over 500% in Q1Carrier exceeded internal expectations for Q1, with robust growth in commercial HVAC and data center orders, while residential markets remained soft. Management reaffirmed the full-year guide, planning to offset tariff-related cost increases with aggressive pricing actions. Total company orders up 11%, driven by 35% growth in commercial HVAC and data center orders up over 500%.Read full analysisCollapse analysis
Carrier exceeded internal expectations for Q1, with robust growth in commercial HVAC and data center orders, while residential markets remained soft. Management reaffirmed the full-year guide, planning to offset tariff-related cost increases with aggressive pricing actions. Total company orders up 11%, driven by 35% growth in commercial HVAC and data center orders up over 500%.
Data center backlog fully covers the $1.5B sales target for 2026.
Management expects to offset 232-tariff and commodity cost headwinds with an additional 2 points of pricing.
CSA residential sales declined 12% , with movement down 8%, but channel inventories are healthy.
CSA rev growth-3%
reported
CSAME rev growth-1%
reported
CSE rev growth0%
reported
Revenue$5.341B
+10% QoQ
What changed this quarter
01
Demand
Global data center orders up over 500% in Q1
Management expressed confidence in growth areas like data centers and aftermarket, but remained cautious on macro uncertainties, tariffs, and short-cycle demand.
02
Guidance
Company reaffirms full-year guide despite macro uncertainty
Guidance · revenue to $22B
03
Pricing
Expect additional 2 points of pricing this year
Data center backlog fully covers the $1.5B sales target for 2026.
04
Aftermarket
Aftermarket to deliver sixth year of double-digit growth
Management expects to offset 232-tariff and commodity cost headwinds with an additional 2 points of pricing.
AI, capex & demand read
AI
Platform & monetization
Management highlighted AI as a key growth driver, with data center orders up over 500% and strong demand for their differentiated solutions. They are investing in CDUs and partnerships (Zutacore) to capture the liquid cooling opportunity.
Demand
Bookings & conversion
Global data center orders up over 500% in Q1. Management expressed confidence in growth areas like data centers and aftermarket, but remained cautious on macro uncertainties, tariffs, and short-cycle demand.
Capex
Investment and capacity
Management is investing in capacity and product development, particularly in data center solutions (CDUs) and CHVAC, with margins impacted by investments in CSA to enhance data center capabilities.
Tone · Cautiously Optimisti
Management expressed confidence in growth areas like data centers and aftermarket, but remained cautious on macro uncertainties, tariffs, and short-cycle demand.
Supply-chain alpha
A1
Carrier expects to offset dollar-for-dollar tariff and commodity cost headwinds with an additional two points of pricing, with 75% of the cost pressure being Section 232 tariff related.
“The third element of your question was related to input costs of the two points of price that we're realizing or expect to realize for the year to offset increased input costs, think about 75% of that related to tariffs, and that is really…”
Data center backlog fully covers the $1.5 billion sales target for 2026, but management is cautious on raising the target despite potential for more orders due to execution risks in the second half.
“Our current data center backlog now fully covers our expected $1.5 billion of data center sales this year. Of course, we are targeting to exceed that number.”
Carrier is using a Toshiba-branded VRF platform to expand its product offering in the CSAME region.
“Our CSAME business introduced a new Toshiba-branded side discharge VRF platform featuring best-in-class efficiency, distinctive aesthetics, low-noise performance, and high reliability.”
… recently launched multi-stage ultra high efficiency weather master platform has the best in class efficiency to weight ratio. While I am highlighting CSA RLC as an example of product differentiation, we're seeing similar progress globally. In the fall, ahead of the heating season, CSERLC will be introducing a new, differentiated, high-tier Wiesman-branded heat pump that is complementary to our current premium offering. Our CSAME business introduced a new Toshiba-branded side discharge VRF platform featuring best-in-class efficiency, distinctive aesthetics, low-noise performance, and high reliability. So... Product differentiation is a consistent theme across the portfolio. Turning to slide five. On the CHVAC side, our product portfolio, field network support, and operational capacity are night and day versus where we were at spin. We now not only have a comprehensive product portfolio, we are winning head-to-head what you see in our orders, share gains, and backlogs. We've invested in the right products with new offerings such as two and three megawatt maglev bearing air cooled chillers with free cooling and a range of water cooled chillers enabling reliable data center …
🍪 Cookies
We use cookies to operate this site and for analytics. Declining won't affect your access to content.