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AVGO FY2026 Q3 RAISED

Broadcom Inc. earnings call

Sep 02, 2026 · 17:00 ET Amie ThuenerCharlie KawwasHock Tan
Buzzberg read

Fiscal 2028 AI revenue to double to $230B

Broadcom delivered record results driven by explosive growth in AI semiconductor revenue and issued extraordinary multi-year guidance, projecting AI revenue to double in each of the next two fiscal years. The company highlighted strong demand from its six XPU customers and detailed ambitious deployment plans, with a major focus on overcoming supply chain constraints. Q3 FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue was $16.7 billion, up 221% year-over-year, with Q4 guidance implying $21.7 billion.

Buzzberg read Fiscal 2028 AI revenue to double to $230B Broadcom delivered record results driven by explosive growth in AI semiconductor revenue and issued extraordinary multi-year guidance, projecting AI revenue to double in each of the next two fiscal years. The company highlighted strong demand from its six XPU customers and detailed ambitious deployment plans, with a major focus on overcoming supply chain constraints. Q3 FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue was $16.7 billion, up 221% year-over-year, with Q4 guidance implying $21.7 billion. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Broadcom delivered record results driven by explosive growth in AI semiconductor revenue and issued extraordinary multi-year guidance, projecting AI revenue to double in each of the next two fiscal years. The company highlighted strong demand from its six XPU customers and detailed ambitious deployment plans, with a major focus on overcoming supply chain constraints. Q3 FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue was $16.7 billion, up 221% year-over-year, with Q4 guidance implying $21.7 billion.

  • Management provided first-time long-term guidance: AI semiconductor revenue of ~$115 billion in FY2027 and ~$230 billion in FY2028.
  • Anthropic is on track to become Broadcom's largest XPU customer by 2027 with planned gigawatt-scale TPU deployments.
  • OpenAI is ramping its custom 'Jalapeno' accelerator, which Broadcom claims outperforms Nvidia's current GPUs for specific workloads at half the cost.
AI revenue $16.7B +55% QoQ
SEMICONDUCTOR revenue $20.8B +39% QoQ
SOFTWARE revenue $8.8B +22% QoQ
Revenue $29.591B +33% QoQ

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

Fiscal 2028 AI revenue to double to $230B

Guidance · revenue to $34.8B

02
AI

OpenAI's Jalapeno outperforms Grace Blackwell for inference

Management described exceptional AI demand, with Q3 AI semiconductor revenue up 221% year-on-year and Q4 guidance of $21.7B, up 236%. They provided multi-year outlooks of approximately $115B in fiscal 2027 and $230B in fiscal 2028, driven by six XPU customers, and highlighted…

03
AI

Entropic to become largest XPU customer in 2027

Management described exceptional AI demand, with Q3 AI semiconductor revenue up 221% year-on-year and Q4 guidance of $21.7B, up 236%. They provided multi-year outlooks of approximately $115B in fiscal 2027 and $230B in fiscal 2028, driven by six XPU customers, and highlighted…

04
Networking

Tomahawk 6 nearly sold out

Anthropic is on track to become Broadcom's largest XPU customer by 2027 with planned gigawatt-scale TPU deployments.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management described exceptional AI demand, with Q3 AI semiconductor revenue up 221% year-on-year and Q4 guidance of $21.7B, up 236%. They provided multi-year outlooks of approximately $115B in fiscal 2027 and $230B in fiscal 2028, driven by six XPU customers, and highlighted that custom accelerators outperform GPUs for their specific workloads.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management said 'Q3 demand was simply hot' and that they are 'just getting started.' They highlighted that demand from XPU customers is exponential and that their demand exceeds their supply-constrained outlook for fiscal 2027.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management noted Q4 capital expenditures of $1.4B as they invest in semiconductor capacity, including substrate manufacturing in Singapore and expansion of optical component (EML, CW, VCSEL) factories, with capacity planned to more than triple year-on-year.

Tone · Upbeat

Management emphasized record results, rapidly accelerating AI growth, and provided multi-year revenue targets with confidence that they will be met or exceeded.

Bottlenecks

Manufacturing capacitypersistent

Substrate capacity is a bottleneck, prompting Broadcom to build its own substrate factory in Singapore.

Substrate availability constrains Broadcom's ability to expand XPU shipments, and the new Singapore capacity will add supply starting fiscal 2027.

“we talk about substrates, which is a specific issue, which is leading us to build our own substrate capacity at scale in our factory in Singapore jointly with one of our partners.”
Hock Tan
Power & gridpersistent

Land, power, and shell are significant constraints for data center deployments, influencing timing of AI revenue recognition.

Data center infrastructure readiness is a key gating factor for Broadcom's customer deployments, impacting the pace of their AI revenue growth.

“Land power and shell, as I indicated to question with Will, is a big concern. More than a big concern, it dictates specific timing of when This capacity gets deployed and be available.”
Hock Tan
Operating constraintpersistent

HBM and system memory availability is a bottleneck for AI server production.

Memory supply is critical for delivering complete AI systems, and any shortfall could delay deployments.

“And of course, we all know about memory, HBM memory, and beyond HBM memory, the system memory that goes into AI servers. which we don't supply necessarily but our customers have to secure too.”
Hock Tan
Componentspersistent

Demand for lasers (EML, CW, VCSEL) exceeds industry supply, prompting Broadcom expansion.

Laser supply constraints could limit AI networking deployment, and Broadcom's capacity expansion is aimed at enabling ecosystem growth.

“demand for lasers, whether it's, you know, EML lasers, CW lasers, is far surpassing supply out there in the industry.”
Hock Tan

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Broadcom's custom accelerators are designed to have roughly half the cost of merchant GPUs (like Nvidia's) while delivering comparable or better performance for specific workloads.

“Like TPUs, Jalapeno demonstrates that it can also run other frontier models. and you can do all this at half the cost of a GPU.”
Hock Tan
A2

Broadcom is building its own advanced substrate capacity in Singapore to address a key supply chain bottleneck, with production starting in fiscal 2027.

“We are going to start deploying our Singapore fat for substrate, by the way, starting fiscal 27. And that would, I guess, address a key part of our supply bottlenecks.”
Hock Tan
A3

Broadcom's custom Ethernet switch 'Tomahawk Ultra' is enabling scale-up networking within GPU/XPU clusters for the first time, potentially disrupting proprietary GPU interconnect solutions.

“Tomahawk Ultra is that we are enabling now scaling up within cluster of GPU, XPU in the rack on basically Ethernet for the first time because it won't, Tomahawk Ultra will perform just as well as anything else that exists prior to that bef…”
Hock Tan

Forward guidance

RaisedGuidance · revenue to $34.8B · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026 Q4$1.4B$1.4BGUIDED
EPSFY2028$30.00$30.00INITIATED
Gross marginFY2026 Q473%73%GUIDED
Op marginFY2026 Q466%66%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q4$34.8Babove vs consensus$34.8BRAISED
RevenueNON_AIFY2026 Q4$4.3B$4.3BGUIDED
RevenueAIFY2026$58B$58BRAISED
RevenueAIFY2026 Q4$21.7B$21.7BRAISED
RevenueAIFY2027$115B$115BINITIATED
RevenueAIFY2028$230B$230BINITIATED

Guidance credibility

7 / 9met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q2Gross marginFY2026 Q374%69.13%Missed
FY2026 Q2Op marginFY2026 Q367%53.92%Missed
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$29.4B$29.591BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$20.5B$20.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$16B$16.7BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$8.9B$8.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$14.8B$15BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$10.7B$10.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$22B$22.187BMet / beat

Company read-throughs

+0.2%
since call
$337.36$338.13
Customers

Google is a key and growing custom accelerator (TPU) customer, with a new long-term agreement for multi-tens of billions of dollars of TPUs annually, indicating deepening reliance on Broadcom's custom silicon and networking.

ANTHROPIC
Private company
Customers

Anthropic (Entropic) is scaling its custom TPU deployments aggressively, becoming Broadcom's largest XPU customer by 2027, with planned gigawatt-scale deployments indicating massive demand for custom accelerators.

OPENAI
Private company
Customers

OpenAI is ramping production of its custom accelerator 'Jalapeno' with Broadcom, and plans to deploy over 5 gigawatts by 2028, making it a top-two customer and signaling a major shift away from merchant GPUs.

+0.5%
since call
$594.69$597.60
Customers

Meta is on track to receive three generations of custom MTIA accelerators from Broadcom, representing a significant and growing source of custom silicon demand.

+0.8%
since call
$4,240.00$4,275.00
Competitors

Broadcom claims to be shipping its next-gen TPU before a competing MediaTek product that was initiated earlier, highlighting its execution speed in custom silicon design.

+0.6%
since call
$224.09$225.39
CompetitorsSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom's custom Ethernet switch 'Tomahawk Ultra' is enabling scale-up networking within GPU/XPU clusters for the first time, potentially disrupting proprietary GPU interconnect solutions. — If Ethernet-based scale-up proves viable, it could challenge proprietary, high-bandwidth scale-up networks, opening the door for Broadcom's networking solutions in a key segment where Nvidia's NVLink has been dominant.

+0.1%
since call
$185.80$185.90
Supply chain

Broadcom's custom Ethernet switch 'Tomahawk Ultra' is enabling scale-up networking within GPU/XPU clusters for the first time, potentially disrupting proprietary GPU interconnect solutions. — If Ethernet-based scale-up proves viable, it could challenge proprietary, high-bandwidth scale-up networks, opening the door for Broadcom's networking solutions in a key segment where Nvidia's NVLink has been dominant.

+0.6%
since call
$224.09$225.39
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom's custom accelerators are designed to have roughly half the cost of merchant GPUs (like Nvidia's) while delivering comparable or better performance for specific workloads.