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AVGO FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Broadcom Inc. earnings call

Dec 11, 2025 · 17:00 ET G. (GU)Hock TanKirsten Spears
Buzzberg read

AI backlog hits $73B, to ship over next 18 months

Broadcom reported record Q4 FY25 results with $18B revenue and strong AI growth of 65% YoY. Q1 FY26 guidance is exceptionally strong with AI revenue expected to double to $8.2B, driven by a record $73B AI backlog. AI revenue grew 65% YoY to $20B in FY25, with Q4 AI revenue up 74% to $6.5B.

Buzzberg read AI backlog hits $73B, to ship over next 18 months Broadcom reported record Q4 FY25 results with $18B revenue and strong AI growth of 65% YoY. Q1 FY26 guidance is exceptionally strong with AI revenue expected to double to $8.2B, driven by a record $73B AI backlog. AI revenue grew 65% YoY to $20B in FY25, with Q4 AI revenue up 74% to $6.5B. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Broadcom reported record Q4 FY25 results with $18B revenue and strong AI growth of 65% YoY. Q1 FY26 guidance is exceptionally strong with AI revenue expected to double to $8.2B, driven by a record $73B AI backlog. AI revenue grew 65% YoY to $20B in FY25, with Q4 AI revenue up 74% to $6.5B.

  • AI backlog is now $73B, to be delivered over the next 18 months, with $20B of that in non-XPU components.
  • Broadcom acquired a fifth XPU customer with a $1B order, in addition to a $10B order from customer #4 in Q3 and an additional $11B order in Q4.
  • OpenAI partnership is confirmed as a strategic multi-year agreement (10 gigawatts over 2027-29) plus a separate advanced custom XPU program.
AI revenue $6.5B reported
SEMICONDUCTORS revenue $11.1B reported
SOFTWARE revenue $6.9B reported
Revenue $18.015B reported

What changed this quarter

01
AI

AI backlog hits $73B, to ship over next 18 months

Management said AI demand is accelerating: AI revenue backlog reached $73B, slated for delivery over the next 18 months, and Q1 fiscal 2026 AI revenue is expected to double year over year to $8.2B. Custom XPU adoption is broadening with a fifth customer and external use of…

02
Guidance

Q1 AI revenue expected to double year over year

Guidance · revenue to $19.1B

03
AI

Fifth XPU customer booked with $1B order

Management said AI demand is accelerating: AI revenue backlog reached $73B, slated for delivery over the next 18 months, and Q1 fiscal 2026 AI revenue is expected to double year over year to $8.2B. Custom XPU adoption is broadening with a fifth customer and external use of…

04
AI

AI switch backlog exceeds $10B on Tomahawk 6

Management said AI demand is accelerating: AI revenue backlog reached $73B, slated for delivery over the next 18 months, and Q1 fiscal 2026 AI revenue is expected to double year over year to $8.2B. Custom XPU adoption is broadening with a fifth customer and external use of…

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management said AI demand is accelerating: AI revenue backlog reached $73B, slated for delivery over the next 18 months, and Q1 fiscal 2026 AI revenue is expected to double year over year to $8.2B. Custom XPU adoption is broadening with a fifth customer and external use of hyperscaler TPUs, while AI networking/switch backlog is also at record levels.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Broadcom's guidance is exceptionally bullish, with AI revenue expected to double in Q1 FY26 and a record $73 billion AI backlog driving accelerating growth through 2026.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Broadcom is raising capacity investment in advanced packaging, building a substantial Singapore facility to partially insource that critical step, while continuing to secure leading-edge silicon capacity from TSMC. Management acknowledged packaging/supply-chain bottlenecks as a key focus but said there is no current silicon capacity constraint.

Tone · Upbeat

Management emphasized unprecedented order momentum, record AI backlog, and doubled AI growth guidance, while dismissing custom-silicon in-sourcing concerns as overblown.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Broadcom's AI backlog of $73 billion (delivered over 18 months) includes ~$20 billion of non-XPU networking components (switches, DSPs, lasers), indicating a substantial merchant silicon opportunity.

“of the 73 billion or ai revenue backlog over the next 18 months i talked about maybe 20 billion of it is everything else. The rest is XPUs.”
Hock Tan
A2

Broadcom is insourcing advanced packaging for AI accelerators at a new Singapore facility to mitigate supply chain constraints, a sign of its growing scale and strategic control.

“And we're building up a fairly substantial facility for packaging, advanced packaging, Singapore as indicated, purely for that purpose”
Hock Tan
A3

Broadcom's Tomahawk 6 switch (102 Tbps) is booking at record rates and is the only product of its kind, driving an AI switch backlog exceeding $10 billion.

“Our current order backlog for AI switches exceeds $10 billion as our latest 102 terabit per second Tomahawk 6 switch, the first and only one of its capability out there, continues to book at record rates.”
Hock Tan
A4

Gross margins will decline as AI system sales ramp, but operating margins will benefit from operating leverage, indicating that AI revenue growth is highly accretive to overall profit dollars.

“we get the operating leverage on our operating spending, that operating margin won't deliver dollars that are still a high level of growth”
Hock Tan
A5

The demand for optical components (DSPs, lasers) for AI data centers is surging, with record orders and backlog, complementing the growth in switch and XPU sales.

“we have also secured record orders on DSPs, optical components like lasers, and PCI Express switches to be deployed”
Hock Tan

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $19.1B
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
Gross marginFY2026 Q177%77%GUIDED
Op marginFY2026 Q167%67%GUIDED
RevenueSEMICONDUCTORSFY2026 Q1$12.3B$12.3BGUIDED
RevenueSOFTWAREFY2026 Q1$6.8B$6.8BGUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q1$19.1Babove vs consensus$19.1BGUIDED
RevenueAIFY2026 Q1$8.2B$8.2BGUIDED

Guidance credibility

7 / 9met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q2Gross marginFY2026 Q374%69.13%Missed
FY2026 Q2Op marginFY2026 Q367%53.92%Missed
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$16B$16.7BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$8.9B$8.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$29.4B$29.591BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$20.5B$20.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$22B$22.187BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$14.8B$15BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$10.7B$10.8BMet / beat

Company read-throughs

+7.8%
since call
$314.90$339.30
+36.0%
since call
$198.50$270.00
Customers

Broadcom's largest XPU customer is expanding the use of its TPUs beyond internal workloads to external AI cloud customers, broadening the market for Broadcom's custom accelerators.

“Best exemplified at Google, where the TPUs used in creating Gemini are also being used for AI cloud computing by Apple, Cohere, and SSI as a sample.”
Hock Tan
OPENAI
Private company
Customers

OpenAI is a key customer for Broadcom's custom XPUs and a strategic partner for future AI infrastructure, with a 10-gigawatt agreement spanning 2027-29.

“And that's, I call it an agreement, an alignment of where we're headed with respect to a very respected and valued customer open AI.”
Hock Tan
+16.6%
since call
$278.90$325.25
Partners

Apple is an external user of Google's TPU-based AI cloud, indicating it is consuming AI compute from an alternative source.

+35.4%
since call
$306.34$414.65
Suppliers

Broadcom remains reliant on TSMC for leading-edge silicon capacity, and secures allocations to support its AI backlog.

+129.9%
since call
$90.05$207.00
+56.2%
since call
$175.45$274.13
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom's AI backlog of $73 billion (delivered over 18 months) includes ~$20 billion of non-XPU networking components (switches, DSPs, lasers), indicating a substantial merchant silicon opportunity. — The size of the merchant component backlog implies significant share gains in AI networking and suggests competitors are losing sockets.

+62.2%
since call
$271.08$439.79
+69.5%
since call
$169.97$288.16
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom is insourcing advanced packaging for AI accelerators at a new Singapore facility to mitigate supply chain constraints, a sign of its growing scale and strategic control. — This could reduce dependence on external OSATs for advanced packaging, impacting companies like Amkor and ASE in the high-end AI space.

+24.0%
since call
$180.99$224.41
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom's Tomahawk 6 switch (102 Tbps) is booking at record rates and is the only product of its kind, driving an AI switch backlog exceeding $10 billion. — This establishes Broadcom's dominance in the highest-speed AI networking layer, potentially displacing merchant switch solutions from competitors.

+130.2%
since call
$378.00$869.99
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The demand for optical components (DSPs, lasers) for AI data centers is surging, with record orders and backlog, complementing the growth in switch and XPU sales. — This confirms a strong uptick in the AI optical component market, positive for suppliers of lasers and DSPs.