u/Chevyimpala2000 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· March 12, 2026 at 17:56
· ⬆ 220 pts
· 💬 344 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
The author is concerned about the market impact of a new war in Iran, specifically rising gas prices and the potential for a prolonged bear market. They observe that stocks on their watchlist are cheaper but are hesitant to deploy more capital, fearing prices could fall much further.
The author's thesis is that while valuations are becoming more attractive, the current geopolitical macro-environment (war, oil prices) presents a significant risk that could lead to a deeper market downturn, making it prudent to be cautious before buying the dip.
Quality assessment: This is speculation and a sentiment check, not well-researched due diligence. The post is based on personal feelings, recent portfolio performance, and macro fears rather than fundamental analysis of specific companies.
Score220
Comments344
Upvote %89%
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A lot of stocks on my watchlist are trading pretty cheap right now. I usually buy dips like this, but this time am a bit worried with the war in Iran, if this thing stretches out for as long as say the Iraq war, it could have us in a bear market for a while, where things get not just cheap, but unreasonably cheap. I don't really have much of a cash pile anymore. All my positions that were up 50% a few months ago are now up like 7-12%, and I'm not considering selling these but it does suck to see.
This time feels different from Venezuela or the empty threats made at Greenland and Canada. Maybe because I am seeing the gas prices shoot up in real time around me. Anyways, what's everyone else doing?