중국의 대만 침공 시 가장 두려운 상황… 대만의 선 넘은 선택 '삼협댐 공격, 중국에 끔찍한 재앙 닥친다' | 한국외대 강준영 교수

Summary

Professor Kang Jun-young analyzes the tense relationship between China and Taiwan, discussing China's potential invasion plans by 2027, Taiwan's military capabilities including long-range missiles that could threaten the Three Gorges Dam, and the role of the US and Japan. He argues that immediate invasion is unlikely due to high risks, but the geopolitical situation remains volatile with significant implications for global markets.

• China-Taiwan tensions are at a high point, with China preparing for possible invasion by 2027.
• Taiwan possesses advanced missiles, including the Yun system with a 2,000km range, potentially able to strike the Three Gorges Dam.
• The US and Japan are likely to intervene due to Taiwan's strategic importance in the western Pacific.
• The professor believes China is unlikely to invade soon due to the risk of failure and domestic instability.
• Taiwan's semiconductor industry, led by TSMC, is a key geopolitical asset.
• The US maintains strategic ambiguity, supporting Taiwan but not committing to direct military intervention.