Summary
Ruchir Sharma discusses why India is on the wrong side of the AI trade due to low R&D and job risks, while the AI boom drives parabolic moves in Korean chip stocks. He recommends quality stocks as a hedge and warns that a 5% US 10-year yield could burst the bubble.
- India is perceived as lagging the AI trade because of low R&D spending and exposure of software jobs.
- The current AI phase is about infrastructure build-out, favoring countries like Korea and Taiwan.
- Ruchir Sharma warns that Korean AI chip stocks (Samsung, SK Hynix) are in a parabolic bubble with 10% daily moves.
- Quality stocks have underperformed due to AI focus and may serve as a hedge against a bubble reversal.
- A rise in the US 10-year yield to 5% is seen as a potential trigger for the bubble to burst.
- Gold is not considered a good hedge currently due to its own strong rally.
- International markets have outperformed the US since December 2024.
- The AI boom is swamping other macro factors like tariffs and oil prices.