Total picks
39
10 L / 1 S
Win-rate
36%
24W / 41L of 65
Avg return
-2.3%
L —
S —
Best
—
avg evaluated
Worst
—
avg evaluated
Long / short
10 / 1
91.0% long bias
Ticker
Side
Conv.
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Date ↓
×N
Src
LONG
MED
Other
$2.16
—
Buy TONX shares at a 65%+ discount, anticipating value upside if TON becomes Telegram's primary token, creating a double-discount opportunity.
May 04
×1
SHORT
MED
Consumer
$184.07
—
Short CAR as the expected $1B+ windfall from 16(b) is likely overstated; actual recovery likely tens of millions, limiting upside.
Apr 30
×1
NEUTRAL
HIGH
Crypto
$77375.50
—
The author clarifies that cryptocurrency was the object of theft rather than a specialized tool for money laundering in this specific context.
Apr 25
×6
LONG
MED
Energy
$425.71
—
Go long TPL based on speculation that Tether may attempt to acquire the company.
Apr 20
×1
LONG
MED
Energy
$198.56
—
Avoid fading the upward momentum in Bloom Energy, as massive whale positioning and strong after-hours price action support continued upside.
Apr 14
×1
LONG
MED
Other
$17.62
—
GTX is undervalued due to a favorable industry shift back to internal combustion engines and a low EBITDA multiple, implying significant upside.
Mar 30
×1
LONG
MED
AI/Semi
—
—
The market is mispricing the legal risk from California's attempt to shut down Sable's pipeline, as the company's operations are protected by a federal order which should legally preempt state action.
Mar 20
×4
LONG
MED
AI/Semi
—
—
The author believes this stock will become a "meme stock" driven by a combination of rising oil prices and potential high-profile social media attention.
Mar 18
×4
LONG
MED
Energy
$123.50
—
The author expects a significant, multi-year rally in oil prices, targeting the $200 level.
Mar 18
×1
LONG
HIGH
AI/Semi
—
—
The author is long $SOC based on a high-conviction, legally-driven special situation thesis where they expect federal law to prevail over state law, creating a positive catalyst for the stock.
Mar 18
×4
LONG
HIGH
AI/Semi
—
—
The author presents a bullish valuation case for SOC based on its significant revenue potential at $100/bbl oil and its strategic premium as a US-based producer with lower political risk.
Mar 18
×4
AVOID
MED
Other
$42.88
—
Residential real estate is a poor investment for those with significant capital, as its perceived success relies on leverage and forced savings rather than strong fundamental returns, presenting a large opportunity cost.
Mar 10
×1
WATCH
MED
Consumer
$86.16
—
Companies with "unliquidated entries" from the invalidated IEEPA tariffs will receive cash refunds fastest, providing a positive short-term catalyst for importers and retailers.
Mar 02
×1
WATCH
MED
AI/Semi
$311.76
—
The author is bullish on Waymo's (a subsidiary of Alphabet) autonomous driving technology, believing its real-world performance indicates widespread adoption is inevitable.
Mar 01
×1
NEUTRAL
MED
Energy
$81.95
—
The author expects oil to reach $100, linking this price target to the economics of Venezuelan debt repayment.
Feb 28
×1
Showing 15 of 39 picks