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Matt Bloxham 3.1 7 ideas

Head of Research, The Block
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Per mention Per thesis
ⓘ First mention per (ticker, direction)
Layout Default A B C D
Total Picks
7
Avg YTD
Best
Worst
Winrate (avg)
40%
Long / Short
7 / 0
Themes
AI/SEMI
7
Theme: Stance:
Ticker Mentions Stance Conv Entry P&L YTD Theme Thesis (click to expand) Mentioned Src
SAP ×1 LONG MED $163.26 AI/Semi SAP reported better-than-expected cloud growth and a 25% year-on-year increase in its order book, signaling that its AI pivot is gaining traction and helping defend against competition, despite some pricing model uncertainties. Apr 24 YOUTUBE
INTC ×1 LONG HIGH $66.85 AI/Semi Intel is benefiting from the shift from AI training to inferencing, where its CPU chips are well-suited, and its foundry business is showing signs of demand from external customers like Elon Musk, with a strengthened balance sheet. Apr 24 YOUTUBE
SMH ×1 LONG HIGH $479.25 AI/Semi Demand for semiconductors, especially for data centers and AI, continues to exceed supply, and this trend will persist for the next 2 to 3 years, supporting strong pricing and profit growth for chip companies. Apr 23 YOUTUBE
ASM ×1 LONG HIGH $7.30 AI/Semi ASM International is benefiting from strong demand for chipmaking equipment driven by AI adoption and data center buildout, leading to record highs and upgraded profit expectations. Apr 22 YOUTUBE
SKYY ×1 LONG $111.40 AI/Semi Hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google) announced ~$650B in CapEx plans for 2026 a few weeks ago. Nvidia's forward guide points to 80% revenue growth. The massive, committed capital expenditure from Hyperscalers guarantees near-term order flow for Nvidia's chips, regardless of immediate enterprise adoption. The "infrastructure build" phase is fully funded. LONG. The cash flow is locked in via Hyperscaler budgets. If enterprise demand for "scaled AI" (not just pilots) doesn't materialize, Hyperscalers may cut CapEx in 2027. Feb 26 YOUTUBE
META ×1 LONG $643.22 AI/Semi Meta is deepening its relationship with Nvidia, and Meta was Nvidia's second-largest customer last year. Despite fears of hyperscalers (like Meta) building their own chips to replace Nvidia, the deepening partnership signals that Nvidia's GPUs remain indispensable for the immediate future of AI model training. Long NVDA (continued demand) and META (securing necessary compute). Regulatory crackdowns on Big Tech capex; diminishing returns on AI spend. Feb 18 YOUTUBE
NVDA ×2 LONG $187.98 AI/Semi Meta is deepening its relationship with Nvidia, and Meta was Nvidia's second-largest customer last year. Despite fears of hyperscalers (like Meta) building their own chips to replace Nvidia, the deepening partnership signals that Nvidia's GPUs remain indispensable for the immediate future of AI model training. Long NVDA (continued demand) and META (securing necessary compute). Regulatory crackdowns on Big Tech capex; diminishing returns on AI spend. Feb 18 YOUTUBE
AI/SEMI
7
SAP AI pivot driving order growth.
SAP reported better-than-expected cloud growth and a 25% year-on-year increase in its order book, signaling that its AI pivot is gaining traction and helping defend against competition, despite some pricing model uncertainties.
SAP HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 24, 06:53
Head of Research, The Block
Intel benefits from AI inferencing phase.
Intel is benefiting from the shift from AI training to inferencing, where its CPU chips are well-suited, and its foundry business is showing signs of demand from external customers like Elon Musk, with a strengthened balance sheet.
INTC HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 24, 06:53
Head of Research, The Block
Chip demand outpaces supply for years.
Demand for semiconductors, especially for data centers and AI, continues to exceed supply, and this trend will persist for the next 2 to 3 years, supporting strong pricing and profit growth for chip companies.
SMH HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 23, 11:08
Head of Research, The Block
ASM International boosted by AI chip demand.
ASM International is benefiting from strong demand for chipmaking equipment driven by AI adoption and data center buildout, leading to record highs and upgraded profit expectations.
ASM HIGH Bloomberg Markets Apr 22, 10:36
Head of Research, The Block
Hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google) announced ~$650B in CapEx plans for 2026 a few weeks ago. Nvidia's forward guide points to 80% revenue growth. The massive, committed capital expenditure from Hyperscalers guarantees near-term order flow for Nvidia's chips, regardless of immediate enterprise adoption. The "infrastructure build" phase is fully funded. LONG. The cash flow is locked in via Hyperscaler budgets. If enterprise demand for "scaled AI" (not just pilots) doesn't materialize, Hyperscalers may cut CapEx in 2027.
SKYY Bloomberg Markets Feb 26, 14:16
Head of Research, The Block
Meta is deepening its relationship with Nvidia, and Meta was Nvidia's second-largest customer last year. Despite fears of hyperscalers (like Meta) building their own chips to replace Nvidia, the deepening partnership signals that Nvidia's GPUs remain indispensable for the immediate future of AI model training. Long NVDA (continued demand) and META (securing necessary compute). Regulatory crackdowns on Big Tech capex; diminishing returns on AI spend.
META NVDA Bloomberg Markets Feb 18, 12:32
Head of Research, The Block
Positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
SAP LONG $163.26 Apr 24
INTC LONG $66.85 Apr 24
SMH LONG $479.25 Apr 23
ASM LONG $7.30 Apr 22
SKYY LONG $111.40 Feb 26
META LONG $643.22 Feb 18
NVDA LONG $187.98 Feb 18
Matt Bloxham (Head of Research, The Block) | 7 trade ideas tracked | NVDA, SAP, SMH, AMD, INTC | YouTube | Buzzberg