Total picks
49
14 L / 2 S
Win-rate
59%
66W / 45L of 111
Avg return
+2.0%
L —
S —
Best
—
avg evaluated
Worst
—
avg evaluated
Long / short
14 / 2
88.0% long bias
Ticker
Side
Conv.
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Date ↓
×N
Src
WATCH
MED
Energy
$144.17
—
Oil surged about 5% after Iran announced a new control zone in the Strait of Hormuz, raising geopolitical supply risk.
May 04
×2
WATCH
MED
Energy
$144.27
—
Reports a geopolitical event in a key oil transit chokepoint. No directional view or trade thesis from speaker (market commentary, not personal trade).
May 04
×2
WATCH
—
Macro
$91.28
—
Joe Weisenthal notes Taiwan's market has risen nearly 15% since the eve of the war, but the tweet is a factual past-tense observation without a forward-looking directional view.
May 04
×1
WATCH
—
Energy
$10.65
—
John Arnold explains how the proliferation of natural gas trading products across exchanges and ETFs like UNG creates arbitrage opportunities for HFT firms like Jane Street.
May 01
×1
NEUTRAL
HIGH
Consumer
$268.50
—
Joe Weisenthal questions the contradiction between Apple being dismissed in AI while Macs sell out for self-hosting LLMs, highlighting a potential market disconnect.
Apr 29
×1
NEUTRAL
—
AI/Semi
$101.77
—
ServiceNow shares plummet 13% after hours following disappointing earnings or guidance, signaling potential weakness in the enterprise software sector.
Apr 22
×1
NEUTRAL
—
Consumer
$14.08
—
Shares of Bird Global plummet 23% following a significant negative market reaction to undisclosed news or financial results.
Apr 16
×1
NEUTRAL
—
Energy
$123.09
—
Oil prices continue to decline, signaling persistent concerns about global demand growth and oversupply in the energy market.
Apr 15
×2
LONG
—
Macro
$694.92
—
Stocks are broadly higher as positive market sentiment drives a rally across major indices.
Apr 15
×1
SPY
+1
NEUTRAL
—
Macro
$688.03
—
Stock index futures are rising pre-market, indicating a positive opening and potential continuation of the recent upward trend.
Apr 14
×7
NEUTRAL
—
Macro
$682.31
—
The S&P 500 has recovered all its losses for the year, signaling a broad market rebound and renewed investor confidence.
Apr 13
×7
NEUTRAL
—
Macro
$675.78
—
U.S. stock index futures recover significantly from their overnight lows, indicating a potential positive reversal for the broader market at the open.
Apr 13
×7
NEUTRAL
—
Macro
$680.65
—
S&P 500 futures are down sharply, indicating a significant risk-off sentiment and potential market sell-off at the open.
Apr 12
×7
NEUTRAL
—
Macro
—
—
The Nikkei index is experiencing a significant decline, reflecting broader market weakness and potential negative sentiment for Japanese equities.
Mar 30
×1
Showing 14 of 49 picks