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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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Cisco warned that rising memory chip prices will eat into profits. Equinix reported record sales due to AI build-out. Cisco's pain (higher costs) is the memory sector's gain (pricing power). Data centers (Equinix) are the physical infrastructure required for the AI boom. LONG the "Pick and Shovel" hardware and infrastructure providers. Overbuilding of capacity leading to a future glut. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bloomberg Surveillance 2/12/2026...
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Feb 12, 2026
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AVOID
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Cisco shares down ~7% after warning that rising component costs (memory) will hurt margins. Hardware integrators are getting squeezed between rising input costs (from memory suppliers) and aggressive competition. AVOID due to margin compression. Supply chain stabilizes faster than expected. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bloomberg Surveillance 2/12/2026...
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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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McDonald's US sales growth hit a two-year high due to value meals boosting traffic. In a K-shaped economy where consumers are trading down, McDonald's "value" proposition is winning market share from more expensive dining options. LONG on the "Trade Down" consumer thesis. Margin compression if food costs rise while menu prices are capped. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bloomberg Surveillance 2/12/2026...
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