Mark — Analyst, Bloomberg (2 trade ideas)

← All Speakers
Date Ticker Direction Thesis Source
Feb 17, 2026
WTI /XLE
WATCH "Bloomberg Economics... say that even if the US military does decide to do a strike, it doesn't necessarily mean that we will see lasting impacts on the oil market." Markets typically panic-buy oil on news of US military strikes in the Middle East. However, the analyst suggests a specific "Second-Order" outcome where combatants intentionally avoid energy infrastructure (similar to "Operation Midnight Hammer"). If infrastructure is spared, any war-driven oil spike would be a "fade" opportunity rather than a sustainable rally. WATCH. Monitor for knee-jerk rallies to potentially fade if infrastructure remains intact. A change in military strategy that targets oil refineries directly would invalidate this thesis and send prices higher. Bloomberg Markets
Iran, US Reach 'Principles' of New Nuclear De...
Feb 17, 2026
ITA /DEFENSE SECTOR
LONG The Trump administration has "confirmed it has sent over that additional carrier strike group to the Arabian Sea" and analysts see a "high likelihood that the U.S. could take military action against Iran." While "diplomacy is the top agenda," the physical movement of high-value military assets and the explicit prediction of kinetic action by Bloomberg Economics signals increased utilization of defense hardware and logistics. LONG. The deployment itself validates revenue generation for defense contractors regardless of the diplomatic outcome. A sudden, comprehensive peace deal that de-escalates the region immediately. Bloomberg Markets
Iran, US Reach 'Principles' of New Nuclear De...