Alexandra - Buzzberg

Date	Ticker	Direction	Thesis	Source
Feb 13, 2026	COIN /RIVN	SHORT	Coinbase revenue "tumbled," swinging to a net loss with crypto values marked down. Rivian forecasts a larger-than-expected loss ($2.1B) and struggles with "slowing EV demand." These are not just macro headwinds; they are company-specific deteriorations in unit economics and demand. The "animal spirits" driving the broader market are not trickling down to these specific distressed growth stories. SHORT. Fundamental deterioration in a high-rate/high-cost environment. A sudden, broad-based speculative rally in risk assets (crypto/meme stocks) could squeeze shorts.	Bloomberg Markets Trump Agrees to End Minnesota Immigration Sur...
Feb 13, 2026	ABNB	LONG	Airbnb reported "strong fourth-quarter bookings," issued an "upbeat outlook," and expects revenue growth to "accelerate to at least low double digits." Despite the "slowing demand" seen in EVs (Rivian), the consumer is still spending on experiences. Airbnb is decoupling from the broader "unprofitable tech" basket and proving to be a resilient consumer discretionary play. LONG. Strong guidance in a mixed earnings season suggests distinct competitive advantage. A sharp recession curbing discretionary travel spending.	Bloomberg Markets Trump Agrees to End Minnesota Immigration Sur...