Marc Champion

2.5 ★★★★★
Bloomberg Columnist
@MarcChampion1 · tracked since Feb 2026
Ideas 6
Long / short 6 L/0 S
Win rate 0%
Tracked posts 2 0.03/day
Avg return -14.3%
Long return -14.3%
Short return -
New ideas 0 last 30d
Most mentioned

Pick return distribution

Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
-
Median
-
Top 10%
-

Average returns

first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days 6 eval.
+0.9%
L +0.9% S -
Win rate 67%
30 days 6 eval.
-9.4%
L -9.4% S -
Win rate 0%
90 days 0 eval.
-
L - S -
Win rate -
Computed from the first opened position per ticker/side. 180d ready when data exists
Result Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Long
NatSec
$724.38
-
Champion notes President Trump "is a president at war now" and has explicitly "characterized this as a war," distinguishing it from a limited "special operation." A declared war implies a sustained campaign rather than a one-off strike. This necessitates the replenishment of munitions, air defense systems, and logistical support, directly benefiting US defense primes. LONG Defense sector. A rapid collapse of the Iranian regime leading to an early end to hostilities.
Feb 28
Long
NatSec
$243.72
-
Champion notes President Trump "is a president at war now" and has explicitly "characterized this as a war," distinguishing it from a limited "special operation." A declared war implies a sustained campaign rather than a one-off strike. This necessitates the replenishment of munitions, air defense systems, and logistical support, directly benefiting US defense primes. LONG Defense sector. A rapid collapse of the Iranian regime leading to an early end to hostilities.
Feb 28
Long
NatSec
$658.08
-
Champion notes President Trump "is a president at war now" and has explicitly "characterized this as a war," distinguishing it from a limited "special operation." A declared war implies a sustained campaign rather than a one-off strike. This necessitates the replenishment of munitions, air defense systems, and logistical support, directly benefiting US defense primes. LONG Defense sector. A rapid collapse of the Iranian regime leading to an early end to hostilities.
Feb 28
Long
NatSec
$202.62
-
Champion notes President Trump "is a president at war now" and has explicitly "characterized this as a war," distinguishing it from a limited "special operation." A declared war implies a sustained campaign rather than a one-off strike. This necessitates the replenishment of munitions, air defense systems, and logistical support, directly benefiting US defense primes. LONG Defense sector. A rapid collapse of the Iranian regime leading to an early end to hostilities.
Feb 28
Long
NatSec
$357.05
-
Champion notes President Trump "is a president at war now" and has explicitly "characterized this as a war," distinguishing it from a limited "special operation." A declared war implies a sustained campaign rather than a one-off strike. This necessitates the replenishment of munitions, air defense systems, and logistical support, directly benefiting US defense primes. LONG Defense sector. A rapid collapse of the Iranian regime leading to an early end to hostilities.
Feb 28
Long
Macro
$483.75
-
Champion argues he is "very dubious" that the administration has a "full understanding of... how difficult it is to control events once you begin a large scale conflict." The gap between the administration's confidence and the historical difficulty of regime change suggests a prolonged, chaotic period. Markets hate uncertainty; this miscalculation risk will drive volatility and a flight to safety (Gold). LONG Volatility and Gold as safe havens. The conflict remains strictly contained to military targets with no wider escalation.
Feb 28
Showing 6 of 6 picks