Pick return distribution
Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Average returns
first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days
4 eval.
+2.0%
L +5.2%
S -1.2%
Win rate
75%
30 days
4 eval.
-1.1%
L -3.2%
S +1.0%
Win rate
50%
90 days
0 eval.
-
L -
S -
Win rate
-
Closed-window returns from the first opened position per ticker/side.
90d = picks opened 90+ days ago