A May MD

5.0 ★★★★★
Biotech investor
@a_may_md · tracked since Mar 2026
Ideas 14
Long / short 8 L/6 S
Win rate 57%
Tracked posts 463 8.57/day
Avg return +5.6%
Long return +6.5%
Short return +4.4%
New ideas 9 last 30d
Most mentioned

Pick return distribution

Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
-
Median
-
Top 10%
-

Average returns

first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days 11 eval.
+4.0%
L +3.7% S +4.4%
Win rate 36%
30 days 5 eval.
+2.0%
L +4.0% S -6.0%
Win rate 60%
90 days 0 eval.
-
L - S -
Win rate -
Closed-window returns from the first opened position per ticker/side. 90d = picks opened 90+ days ago
Result
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Long
Healthcare
$71.40
+21.7%
Nektar Therapeutics is expected to see positive momentum for its alopecia areata treatment following upcoming data presentations and maintenance updates.
Mar 12
Long
Healthcare
$36.87
+21.3%
Novo Nordisk is poised for growth due to record-breaking drug adoption and regulatory crackdowns on the illicit market.
Mar 24
Long
Healthcare
$117.41
-0.2%
ABVX stock sentiment improves after the company hired a high-profile executive to lead commercial efforts.
Mar 23
Short
Healthcare
$66.73
-3.6%
Fade SYRE's Phase 2a data release, as the study's open-label design without a placebo group makes the results unreliable compared to established blinded studies.
Apr 13
Short
Healthcare
$70.00
+5.1%
Short ORKA due to phase 2a data that merely matches existing therapies (Skyrizi, Bimzelx) while facing biosimilar competition and a $7B market cap that implies unjustified premium for a heavily served indication.
Apr 27
Short
Healthcare
$17.61
+21.2%
Short NTLA after poor clinical data (62% attack free rate missed bar) makes fundraising difficult and ATTR studies stalled, pressuring shares.
Apr 27
Short
Healthcare
$43.88
-1.9%
Short NVO because speaker was never bullish on the stock and is currently profiting from a short position, implying ongoing bearish view.
May 01
Long
Healthcare
$69.03
-3.7%
Buy ORKA ahead of tomorrow's Phase 2a data; speaker expects positive readout on PASI100 response rate based on proven IL23p19 efficacy, though valuation near $5B adds risk.
Apr 26
Long
Healthcare
$13.63
+1.8%
The author expresses strong confidence in upcoming clinical data for NTLA, anticipating positive efficacy and safety results that could serve as a significant catalyst for the stock.
Apr 24
Long
Healthcare
$138.10
-3.2%
Go long biotech as massive cash generation from the GLP-1 boom enables large pharma companies to fund M&A and deals across the broader sector.
Apr 20
Short
Healthcare
$92.20
+9.4%
Short APGE as management's narrative regarding Lebrikizumab underdosing is contradicted by maintenance data showing better efficacy at lower exposure levels, indicating thesis creep and fabricated claims.
Apr 18
Long
Healthcare
$1.87
+13.9%
Buy PALI to exploit a relative value inefficiency, as competitors are gaining multiples of PALI's entire market cap based on inferior open-label clinical data.
Apr 13
Long
Healthcare
$961.51
+0.4%
The tweet mentions Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk without providing specific sentiment or context.
Apr 01
Short
Healthcare
$48.41
-3.9%
The author correctly predicted the failure of Roche's MANATEE study, highlighting a potential shift in the competitive landscape for myostatin drugs.
Mar 19
Showing 14 of 14 picks · sorted by mentions