| Date | Ticker | Price | Dir | Speaker | Thesis | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16 | SHORT | The US economy is running at 2-3% growth with core PCE near 3%. Fiscal deficits are 7-8% of GDP. If the Fed cuts rates 3 times (bowing to pressure) while growth remains at 3%, inflation expectations will unanchor. Bond vigilantes will punish the long end. SHORT Long Duration Bonds (Expect higher yields on the 10Y/30Y). A sudden recession crushes growth and yields simultaneously. |