|
Feb 18
|
|
$605.79
$605.79
-0.0%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Trump Unveils $36 Billion In New Projects As ...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$601.30
$605.79
+0.7%
|
LONG
|
Kamakshya Trivedi
Head of Global FX and Interest Rates, Goldman Sachs
|
Trivedi states, "We do have a stronger growth outlook... despite that stronger growth outlook we expect inflation to remain benign." He cites waning tariff impacts and softer wage growth. This combination (Growth + Disinflation) is the definition of a "Goldilocks" scenario. Markets often fear strong growth leads to rate hikes, but GS argues inflation is structuraly contained (AI/China export deflation), allowing the Fed to cut rates twice in H2. LONG US Equities as the macro backdrop supports valuation expansion. Unexpected inflation spikes from supply chain shocks. |
Bloomberg Markets
India Seeks Role in AI Future As Modi Hosts F...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$601.30
$605.79
+0.7%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Stock Market Today: Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futu...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$601.30
$605.79
+0.7%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Trump Says Inflation Is 'Way Down' After It C...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$601.92
$605.79
+0.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Mohamed El-Erian Sounds Alarm As China's US T...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$601.92
$605.79
+0.6%
|
LONG
|
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent
|
"In 2001... NASDAQ was trading at 103 PE... NASDAQ in February 2026 is trading at 24.8x PE. And so the entire NASDAQ could do a 4x right now with zero revenue growth... and it would still be lower than the mania we were at in 2001." The broad tech index is statistically cheap relative to the previous major tech bubble. The "top" is likely much higher if history (2000 mania) is the benchmark for irrational exuberance. LONG. The ceiling for valuation expansion is significantly higher than current levels. Macroeconomic shifts (rates) that compress P/E multiples regardless of historical comparisons. |
Thread Guy
Why The AI Boom Might Be A Bubble?
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
—
|
SHORT
|
chumba
Substack author, The Cookie Chumbles
|
"The Nasdaq looks like it has been in distribution since October 2025." The author explicitly states owning "some small amount of QQQ put options through April." This implies a technical breakdown and bearish sentiment for the index, supported by broader macro arguments like halting hyperscaler buybacks, threatened employment flows, and a hawkish Fed. Take short exposure to the Nasdaq 100, potentially via put options or direct shorting, anticipating a significant correction or bear market. Timing could be off (AI impacts 3 years away); Fed successfully manages balance sheet transition; hyperscaler ROIC remains high and employment flows are not significantly impacted. |
The Cookie Chumbles
Doomer or Boomer
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$601.92
$605.79
+0.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Trump Tariffs Backfired: 94% Of Economic Burd...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
SHORT
|
@zerohedge
|
A bill to fund the U.S. Homeland Security Department failed to pass in the Senate, indicating political gridlock and potential government funding issues. |
@zerohedge
BILL TO FUND U.S. HOMELAND SECURITY DEPARTMEN...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
SHORT
|
Finnhub News
|
The AAII survey shows a resurgence of negative sentiment among investors. |
Finnhub - QQQ
AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Rebounds
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
SHORT
|
Finnhub News
|
The current |
Finnhub - QQQ
AI Goldilocks Is Fooling The Market
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
JEPQ Vs. QQQ: February Effect Makes Covered-C...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Supply Side Strong
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
The Key Arguments For Emerging Markets In 202...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Breadth Rebound Holds - But Leadership Still ...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Future...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
What Will Drive The S&P 500 Over 7,000?
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Strong Jobs Market Suggests Considering Cycli...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$600.64
$605.79
+0.9%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Teen Employment Situation Little Changed In J...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Dow Jones And U.S. Index Outlook: Hawkish NFP...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Private Sector Ramps Up Hiring. Job Losses Mo...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Employment Report: 130K Jobs Added In January...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Rates May Be Too Low After A Strong January J...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Blowout Masks Slowing Private Ec...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Report: Smashing Expectations
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Report: Surprise Upside Should K...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Report: Labor Market Enters The ...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Shock: The Super Bowl Of Macro
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Decent January For U.S. Jobs, But The Sector ...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Breadth Cools Off, Uptrend Still Intact
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Report: Strong Growth To Start T...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
January Jobs Jump, Stocks Rise As The Unemplo...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Trump's De-Dollarization Has Gone A Bridge To...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Don't Take Your Eye Off The Ball Because Of W...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Scott Bessent Confirms Trump's April Visit To...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
A Hypothesis Why U.S. Median Household Income...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Future...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Trump Declares 'Largest Tax Refund Season Eve...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$613.11
$605.79
-1.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - QQQ
Small Business Capex Divergences
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
$611.47
$605.79
-0.9%
|
LONG
|
Bob Elliott
Substack author, Nonconsensus
|
"It seems the asset markets are driving the real economy these days, not the other way around." This leads to a "jobless expansion favoring companies fed by an ongoing flow of dissaving." If asset markets are driving the real economy, continued strength in asset values (equities) can create a positive feedback loop, encouraging further dissaving and consumption. This environment is generally supportive of broad market indices and growth-oriented companies that benefit from sustained demand and wealth effects. Long broad market ETFs (like SPY) or growth-focused ETFs (like QQQ) to benefit from the positive feedback loop where asset markets drive the real economy, supported by ongoing household dissaving. A significant correction in equity markets would directly undermine the "asset markets driving the real economy" thesis. Unexpectedly aggressive Fed tightening due to persistent inflation could also dampen market sentiment. |
Nonconsensus
Dissaving Drives Decent Demand
|
|
Feb 09
|
|
$25268
$24898
-1.5%
|
AVOID
|
Barry Bannister
Chief Equity Strategist at Stifel
|
The speaker compares speculative tech and the broader market to the risks seen in 2001-2002, warning that current valuation multiples cannot be sustained. The economy is currently "K-shaped," where wealthy consumers drive spending. However, this wealth is entirely leveraged to the stock market. If the market "wobbles" due to high valuations and lack of Fed support, wealthy spending will dry up, removing the economy's only remaining leg of support. The speaker notes that the Fed is no longer the guaranteed "savior" of the market, creating a drag on asset prices that rely on high multiples. Continued resilience in consumer spending despite market volatility. |
CNBC
Bitcoin is not digital gold and behaves like ...
|