Went down a rabbit hole on copper and rare earths, ended up with a small watchlist
u/NoahReed14 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· March 17, 2026 at 17:47
· ⬆ 15 pts
· 💬 5 comments
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Summary
The post discusses a watchlist of companies involved in copper and rare earth elements (REEs), driven by the macro themes of electrification and resource security.
The author categorizes these companies by their stage of development: early exploration (high risk), established producers (tied to commodity prices), and processors (leveraging supply chain importance).
Quality assessment: This is preliminary research or a high-level overview, not deep-dive due diligence (DD). It's a mix of observation and speculation, useful for generating ideas rather than confirming a thesis.
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Today I came across a post about copper supply issues and it pulled me into looking at a few mining names I hadn’t really followed closely before. What started as a quick read turned into a small watchlist across copper and rare earths.
One of the first names I looked into was $NRED. NovaRed Mining is still early stage, working on its Wilmac project in British Columbia. Around 11,504 hectares, surface samples averaging 0.639% Cu with highs to 1.67%, and about 85 km of geophysical surveys planned for 2026. No drilling yet, which means high risk, but also that pre-drill phase where attention sometimes builds.
Then I started comparing that to more established rare earth players like MP Materials ($MP). They operate the Mountain Pass mine in California and actually produce rare earth concentrates at scale. Different risk profile entirely, with real revenue and exposure to materials like neodymium and praseodymium used in EV motors.
Another one that came up was Lynas Rare Earths ($LYSCF). They process rare earths outside China, which seems to be a big geopolitical theme right now. It’s interesting because supply chains for these materials are becoming just as important as the resources themselves.
And then there are companies like Energy Fuels ($UUUU), which started in uranium but is now pushing into rare earth processing in the US. That kind of pivot seems to be happening more often as demand for critical minerals grows.
What stood out to me is how different these plays are depending on stage:
Early exploration like $NRED -> high risk, narrative driven
Producers like $MP -> tied to actual output and pricing
Processors like $UUUU -> leverage on supply chain bottlenecks
All of them are tied to the same bigger theme: electrification and resource security. But they sit at completely different points on the risk curve.
How do you usually balance early-stage explorers versus established producers when looking at this space?