u/Count-to-3 ·
Reddit — r/wallstreetbets
· March 09, 2026 at 01:35
· ⬆ 2652 pts
· 💬 641 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
The author argues that the current market downturn, driven by the geopolitical crisis in the Strait of Hormuz, is a temporary correction and a prime buying opportunity.
The core thesis is that historical data (average annual 10% corrections, VIX > 30 being a buy signal) and strong corporate earnings suggest a rapid market recovery once the geopolitical situation stabilizes.
This is highly speculative analysis based on broad historical patterns and a simplified view of a complex geopolitical event, making it more of a sentiment piece than well-researched due diligence.
Score2,652
Comments641
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Friendly reminder, the S&P500 averages a 10% correction almost once per year.
Other than the straight of Hormuz being shutdown, cutting off oil supply to the globe and causing oil prices to sky rocket (as well as other commodities), company earnings are setting records. Over 80% of companies beat earnings last quarter. As soon as any sort of deal or US/Israel pull back is announced, or if the straight gets under control and supply can move through, Oil prices are going to plummet and the bull market begins for atleast another year till the next correction.
Don't be dumb and sell the bottom out of fear.
S&P will be down 10% if it reaches 627. Futures market shows it down around 659, there is still room to fall, and likely will. But it is going to rush back real fast.
Also, another note. Anytime then VIX is above 30, historically is a great time to buy and has literally never been a bad decision.
Do what you will, I didn't use AI slop to write this.
Positions for fun:
250 shares MU
3K LUNR
2K POET
250 RDDT
250 MRVL
And 70K cash waiting to deploy