My periodic reminder that the US TIC data doesn't measure China's holdings of US Treasuries. It only measures China's holdings of Treasuries in US custodians. The real question is how many Treasuries Chinese entities hold in non US custodians https://t.co/8UhvI7DuP8 https://t.co/y1pfcrxx03
Original source ↗  |  February 15, 2026 at 19:32 UTC  |  Twitter - @brad_setser

Here are the actionable trade ideas extracted from the provided tweets:

IDEA [6] TICKER: Aluminium, Copper, Nickel, Tin futures (or ETFs like JJN, CPER, JJM) DIRECTION: Long THESIS: Skyrocketing trading volume in base metals futures in China (up 86% MoM, 5x average) indicates strong demand or speculative interest, which is bullish for these commodities. SPEAKER: @KobeissiLetter TIMEFRAME: Short-term to medium-term

IDEA [7] TICKER: Investment banks (e.g., GS, MS), Private Equity firms (e.g., CG, BX, KKR) DIRECTION: Long THESIS: Recovery in M&A volume and improving

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