@IMFNews There was a bad forecast miss back in the summer of 2024 (imbalances receding ... ), as the IMF missed the reacceleration of Chinese export growth on the back of the RER depreciation. And the $365b forecast for 2025 was off by almost $400b ... 6/
Original source ↗  |  February 13, 2026 at 20:59 UTC  |  Twitter - @brad_setser

IDEA 1 TICKER: GDS, KC DIRECTION: Long THESIS: BofA Securities prefers these stocks due to strong AI demand and price hikes, indicating a positive outlook. SPEAKER: @briantycangco TIMEFRAME: Medium-term

IDEA 8 TICKER: BABA DIRECTION: Avoid THESIS: US tech aiding military could escalate US-China tensions, negatively impacting Chinese tech stocks like Alibaba due to geopolitical risk. SPEAKER: @briantycangco TIMEFRAME: Medium-term

IDEA 10 TICKER: BABA, BIDU, NIO, BYDDF DIRECTION: Avoid THESIS: Pentagon's actions (likely related to the list of firms aiding the

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