How to reconcile the Chinese warning with the TIC data? a) the TIC data only captures those Treasuries held in US custodians (primarily those held by the PBoC) b) the state banks bought a ton of dollars in December (and likely January) and parked them somewhere https://t.co/Vqj3YWkUef
Original source ↗  |  February 10, 2026 at 01:39 UTC  |  Twitter - @brad_setser

Here are the actionable trade ideas extracted from the tweets:

IDEA [3] TICKER: $BYDDF, $XIACF, $GELYF, $NIO, $LI, $XPEV, $ZK DIRECTION: long THESIS: Expect more support policies to boost auto sales after a correction in January/February, which should benefit these Chinese auto manufacturers. SPEAKER: @briantycangco TIMEFRAME: medium-term

IDEA [4] TICKER: US Bonds (e.g., TLT, IEF, BND) DIRECTION: short THESIS: Chinese regulators' reported guidance to limit US Treasury exposure adds pressure to bonds, alongside upcoming NFP and CPI data. SPEAKER: @ces

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