No, the ISM is not everything and it doesn't mean up only yet necessarily, but it IS a necessary condition for strong crypto prices over time (as is liquidity). Liquidity will rise faster soon too, which creates reflexivity. Economy gud, crypto gud. https://t.co/ROP7v1mLOW
Original source ↗  |  February 03, 2026 at 01:50 UTC  |  Twitter - @raoulgmi

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IDEA [11] TICKER: Crypto (e.g., BTC, ETH, or a broad crypto index) DIRECTION: long THESIS: The speaker believes that improving ISM data is a necessary condition for strong crypto prices, and anticipates rising liquidity which will create reflexivity, leading to higher crypto prices. SPEAKER: @raoulgmi TIMEFRAME: medium-term

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IDEA [40] TICKER: Software sector (e.g., IGV, XSW, or individual software stocks) DIRECTION: short THESIS: The speaker believes the software sector is "dead" and discloses an active short position, implying a bearish outlook on software companies. SPEAKER: @abcampbell TIMEFRAME: medium-term

IDEA [41] TICKER: AI sector (e.g., AIQ, BOTZ, or individual AI-exposed stocks) DIRECTION: short THESIS: The speaker predicts an "AI Air Pocket" where capital shifts from buybacks to capex, and revenue growth is years away, leading to lower valuations for AI-related investments as investors are unwilling to finance the gap indefinitely. SPEAKER: @abcampbell TIMEFRAME: medium-term

TOTAL: 5 ideas found

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Trade Ideas
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BTC
LONG @raoulgmi The speaker believes that improving ISM data is a necessary condition for strong crypto prices, and anticipates rising liquidity which will create reflexivity, leading to higher crypto prices.