Thoughts on Warsh. My framework is to focus on environmental constraints on actors, understand their psychology, and then put myself into their shoes to predict the path forward. There have been many extreme views on both sides. I believe both the very dovish or hawkish views
Original source ↗  |  February 02, 2026 at 15:40 UTC  |  Twitter - @plur_daddy

Here are the actionable trade ideas extracted from the tweets:

IDEA [3] TICKER: SPY (or broad market index) DIRECTION: short/avoid THESIS: A government shutdown is expected to lead to market "ugliness" due to trapped liquidity in the TGA, suggesting further downside for equities. SPEAKER: @raoulgmi TIMEFRAME: short-term

IDEA [8] TICKER: SPY (or US equities) DIRECTION: short/avoid THESIS: If Warsh implements Quantitative Tightening (QT), it removes the Fed put, significantly increasing left tail risk for US equities. SPEAKER: @humacapital TIMEFRAME: medium-term

IDEA [9] T

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