Updating on the betting for who will be the next Fed chair. While Rick Rieder is leading, no one is trading above 50%. So, no strong conviction. Summing up the four finalists equals 89.2%. Or, as the bottom panel shows, 10.8% that it will be someone else (explained below). https://t.co/ciBMo0KnF2 https://t.co/1EEw7SIA0q