Third, the IMF continues to get an F at current account forecasting. China's current account surplus is not poised to fall in 2026 & 2027 17/ ("the trade surplus is projected to contract, with the current account surplus declining from a projected 3.3 percent of GDP in 2025 to 2.8 percent of GDP by 2027. Over the medium term, the current account surplus is projected to gradually decline to around 2 percent of GDP")
Original source ↗  |  February 19, 2026 at 04:42 UTC  |  Twitter - @Brad_Setser

No analysis available.