Why Simple Investing Wins w/ David Fagan (TIP788)
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 31, 2026 at 22:45 UTC  |  1:03:53  |  We Study Billionaires
Speakers
Stig Brodersen — Host
David Fagan — Guest

Summary

  • Warren Buffett's advice to trustees involves putting 90% of funds in a low-cost S&P 500 index and 10% in short-term government bonds.
  • An index fund is a basket of hundreds of companies tracked in a low-cost investment, allowing investors to own the entire market rather than picking winners.
  • Approximately 50% of assets are classified as passive, but only about 23% are held in true index funds in the US market.
  • Index funds account for only 1% of trading volume in the US, meaning active investors still drive price discovery.
  • Only 17% of individual stocks beat the market over the last decade.
  • According to Bessembinder’s research, only 4% of stocks created all the net wealth in the market going back to 1930.
  • In the US, roughly 90% of large-cap managers underperform the S&P 500.
  • In Canada, 98% of equity managers failed to beat the S&P/TSX index over the last 15 years.
  • Portfolio turnover alone can cost up to 2% of gross returns annually due to taxes and fees.
  • David Fagan indexes six of his eight family accounts to maintain financial independence while taking risks elsewhere (entrepreneurship).
  • Howard Marx's philosophy suggests superior returns are about consistency and avoiding big losses rather than ranking in the top 5% annually.
  • Indexing protects investors from behavioral biases like FOMO, herd mentality, and market timing.
  • Stig Brodersen notes that 99% of people should index, though he personally maintains a concentrated portfolio for intellectual challenge.
  • Cash is described as the surest way to lose money due to inflation and loss of purchasing power.
  • David Fagan implements a strategy of 90% low-cost index funds and 10% fixed income.
  • Fagan uses a specific rebalancing rule: if fixed income falls to 5%, he trims equities; if it rises to 15%, he buys equities.
  • Entrepreneurs should view indexing as a "shock absorber" for their wealth, as they already take significant risks in their businesses.
  • During the 2008 financial crisis, indexing provided a psychological benefit of alignment with the market rather than individual failure.
  • Investors must oversee their results by comparing returns against a reputable benchmark like the S&P 500 or Vanguard's VT.
  • A client story illustrates the danger of low returns: a woman earning 5% instead of 8% had to delay retirement by 6-7 years despite saving $100k annually.
  • Investors should check fees; paying over 2% in management fees can cost hundreds of thousands over time.
  • Vanguard's VT ETF has an expense ratio of only 0.06% and provides exposure to 10,000 companies.
  • Expectations in leadership and parenting (referenced via the Rosenthal study) can compound behavior similar to how interest compounds money.
Trade Ideas
Ticker Direction Speaker Thesis Time
LONG David Fagan
Editor, Cointelegraph
10% allocation to stabilize behavior and facilitate rebalancing (buy low/sell high).
BRK
LONG Stig Brodersen
Host, The Investor's Podcast
Viewed as a "superpowered ETF"; comprises roughly 7% of his portfolio.
AVOID Stig Brodersen
Host, The Investor's Podcast
The surest way to lose purchasing power due to inflation; risky to hold long-term. 2:34
AVOID David Fagan
Editor, Cointelegraph
90-98% underperformance rates against the index; turnover costs reduce returns by up to 2% annually.
VT
LONG Stig Brodersen
Host, The Investor's Podcast
Low cost (6 bps), owns 10,000 companies, eliminates stock-picking risk, serves as a global benchmark. 30:23
TSX
LONG David Fagan
Editor, Cointelegraph
Part of a diversified index strategy for Canadian investors to capture domestic market growth. 3:31
LONG David Fagan
Editor, Cointelegraph
Captures the 4% of stocks that generate all market wealth; 90% of managers fail to beat it.