|
Feb 16
|
|
—
|
SHORT
|
Catherine Lim
Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
|
Regulators summoned major platforms (Alibaba, Baidu, JD, Meituan) on Friday regarding "evolutionary" pricing practices (price wars). Meituan warned of a $3.5B annual loss due to this competition. The government's "anti-involution" drive effectively caps profit margins. If companies cannot compete on price to gain market share, and are simultaneously facing an earnings wall due to weak consumption, their growth models are broken. SHORT/AVOID. The regulatory overhang combined with deteriorating earnings guidance makes the sector uninvestable in the near term. A surprise stimulus package from Beijing or a successful Trump-Xi summit in April could trigger a short squeeze. |
Bloomberg Markets
Laopu Gold, CATL Added to Hang Seng Index | T...
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
—
|
LONG
|
Deirdre Bosa
Anchor/Reporter, CNBC Tech Check
|
"In China, breakthroughs are being priced exactly the opposite as an opportunity." A new video model from ByteDance fueled a rally in media and gaming stocks, whereas similar news from Google caused a sell-off in the US. Investors in China view AI as a supply-side enabler that lowers content creation costs (CAPEX reduction) for gaming and media giants, rather than a competitive threat that replaces the companies themselves. Contrarian Long. The market is rewarding Chinese tech for AI integration, creating a divergence trade against US counterparts. Regulatory crackdowns by the CCP or US sanctions on chip hardware slowing down model development. |
CNBC
U.S. vs. China AI spending gap widens
|